DAL dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 13 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Delta Air Lines (DAL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 13 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.08), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DAL sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.08
TL;DR over the most recent 13 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.08 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.24% | +0.57pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.45% | -1.43pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
The company has not declared a dividend, and we don't have enough recent history to extrapolate a reliable estimate.
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Delta Air Lines (DAL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.80% | $87.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.03% | -0.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | 1.34% | $71.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.63% | +6.74% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | 1.15% | $69.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -20.32% | -11.36% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -0.11% | $61.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.58% | -4.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -0.28% | $53.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.88% | +0.41% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | 0.08% | $51.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.33% | -1.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | 0.26% | $61.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -28.48% | -10.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.92% | $50.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.32% | +8.69% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.51% | $43.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.64% | -11.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | 0.68% | $52.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.95% | +0.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.10 | -0.36% | $42.12 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +0.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | -0.20% | $35.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.30% | -7.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 0.15% | $47.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.86% | +1.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -0.39% | $58.72 | 2 | yes | yes | -24.51% | -14.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.40 | -1.10% | $54.65 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +1.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.40 | -1.11% | $63.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.61% | -2.61% | |
| Q2 | $0.35 | -0.15% | $58.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.24% | -2.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.35 | -0.67% | $50.43 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.38% | -0.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | -0.61% | $56.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.32% | +2.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.35 | -0.81% | $51.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.81% | +4.37% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with DAL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical DAL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.41%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+8.18%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+81.06%
Best event
+0.74%
Worst event
+0.19%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DAL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.68% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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