Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DDOG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$76.95
Method range
$6.15 – $944.60
median $166.08
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $76.95 | -68.69% |
| Exit multiple | $944.60 | +284.34% |
| Analyst target | $255.21 | +3.84% |
| Graham number | $6.15 | -97.50% |
- Forward DCF$76.95
- Exit multiple$944.60
- Analyst target$255.21
- Graham number$6.15
Stock price
$245.77
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.92
3Y FCF CAGR
35.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$92.57
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
50.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -165.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
35.7%
Your model implies
50.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 36% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 47.1% | 46.4% | 45.6% | 44.7% | 43.8% |
| 11.4% | 49.7% | 49.0% | 48.3% | 47.6% | 46.8% |
| 12.4% | 52.2% | 51.6% | 50.9% | 50.2% | 49.5% |
| 13.4% | 54.6% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 52.8% | 52.1% |
| 14.4% | 56.9% | 56.3% | 55.8% | 55.2% | 54.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
12.79
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.13B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.54
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Datadog (DDOG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.