DE dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Deere & Company (DE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.15), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DE sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 29, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.15
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.15 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.21% | +0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 30% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.89% | +0.13pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$1.62
Per-event yield
0.26%
Annualized yield
1.02%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($1.62)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 10, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Deere & Company (DE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.62 | -0.07% | $626.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.50% | -4.51% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | 0.81% | $555.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.05% | +9.98% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | -0.63% | $469.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.35% | +6.91% | |
| Q3 | $1.62 | -0.53% | $465.49 | 6 | no | yes | -6.02% | -0.51% | |
| Q2 | $1.62 | -0.26% | $513.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.59% | -0.55% | |
| Q1 | $1.62 | -0.98% | $465.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.09% | -8.67% | |
| Q4 | $1.62 | 0.20% | $424.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.09% | -3.07% | |
| Q3 | $1.47 | -0.48% | $418.00 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.60% | -2.51% | |
| Q2 | $1.47 | 0.37% | $376.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.19% | -5.39% | |
| Q1 | $1.47 | -0.13% | $398.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.31% | +2.52% | |
| Q4 | $1.47 | -0.20% | $401.64 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.38% | -1.05% | |
| Q3 | $1.35 | -0.09% | $384.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.69% | -1.90% | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | -0.87% | $405.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.52% | +0.33% | |
| Q1 | $1.25 | 0.38% | $400.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.66% | -7.46% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -0.10% | $430.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.08% | -0.58% | |
| Q3 | $1.13 | -1.42% | $345.90 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.54% | +3.09% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | -0.63% | $309.16 | 14 | no | yes | -8.20% | -1.31% | |
| Q1 | $1.05 | 0.21% | $412.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.69% | -0.15% | |
| Q4 | $1.05 | 0.03% | $345.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.35% | +9.17% | |
| Q3 | $1.05 | 0.25% | $353.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.86% | -4.09% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with DE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical DE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.20%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+4.03%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+87.04%
Best event
+0.39%
Worst event
-1.31%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.25% | |
| -1.31% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.32% | |
| -0.51% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.26% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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