Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$767.58
Method range
$122.42 – $767.58
median $485.89
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $767.58 | +26.39% |
| Exit multiple | $280.21 | -53.86% |
| Analyst target | $691.58 | +13.87% |
| Graham number | $122.42 | -79.84% |
- Forward DCF$767.58
- Exit multiple$280.21
- Analyst target$691.58
- Graham number$122.42
Stock price
$607.33
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.24
3Y FCF CAGR
-7.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.71
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
36.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2,461.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-7.7%
Your model implies
36.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 32.4% | 31.3% | 30.1% | 28.8% | 27.3% |
| 8.2% | 35.5% | 34.6% | 33.6% | 32.5% | 31.2% |
| 9.2% | 38.3% | 37.5% | 36.7% | 35.7% | 34.7% |
| 10.2% | 41.0% | 40.3% | 39.5% | 38.7% | 37.8% |
| 11.2% | 43.5% | 42.8% | 42.2% | 41.4% | 40.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.13
Low vs growth
Net debt
$55.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.90
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Deere & Company (DE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.51% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.07% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.