Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$638.51
Method range
$122.42 – $690.00
median $458.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $638.51 | +9.44% |
| Exit multiple | $279.08 | -52.17% |
| Analyst target | $690.00 | +18.26% |
| Graham number | $122.42 | -79.02% |
- Forward DCF$638.51
- Exit multiple$279.08
- Analyst target$690.00
- Graham number$122.42
Stock price
$583.44
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.24
3Y FCF CAGR
-7.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$23.06
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
36.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2429.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-7.7%
Your model implies
36.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 32.6% | 31.6% | 30.4% | 29.2% | 27.8% |
| 8.4% | 35.6% | 34.7% | 33.8% | 32.7% | 31.6% |
| 9.4% | 38.4% | 37.6% | 36.8% | 35.9% | 34.9% |
| 10.4% | 41.0% | 40.3% | 39.5% | 38.8% | 37.9% |
| 11.4% | 43.5% | 42.8% | 42.2% | 41.4% | 40.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.13
Low vs growth
Net debt
$55.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.97
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Deere & Company (DE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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