DTE Energy (DTE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.49), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DTE sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 22, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.17.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.49in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.49 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.82% | -0.13pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.95% | -0.11pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 19 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.17 |
| Per-event yield | 0.78% |
| Annualized yield | 3.11% |
| Previously paid | Mar 16, 2026 ($1.17) |
| Last record date | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
DTE Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for DTE Energy (DTE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.17 | -0.38% | $149.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.45% | -4.09% | |
| Q4 | $1.17 | -0.12% | $129.80 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.75% | -0.25% | |
| Q3 | $1.09 | -0.73% | $136.84 | 7 | no | yes | -2.09% | +0.29% | |
| Q2 | $1.09 | -0.51% | $135.22 | 19 | no | yes | -3.61% | -0.67% | |
| Q1 | $1.09 | -0.95% | $135.26 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.67% | +1.46% | |
| Q4 | $1.09 | -0.80% | $121.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | +0.05% | |
| Q3 | $1.02 | 0.33% | $125.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +1.18% | |
| Q2 | $1.02 | -1.62% | $112.14 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.98% | -0.98% | |
| Q1 | $1.02 | -1.12% | $109.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.12% | +0.47% | |
| Q4 | $1.02 | -1.83% | $112.43 | >30 | no | no | -3.07% | -1.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.95 | -0.38% | $106.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.64% | +0.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.95 | -0.19% | $112.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.51% | -1.77% | |
| Q1 | $0.95 | -1.05% | $109.22 | 11 | no | yes | -6.36% | -1.39% | |
| Q4 | $0.95 | -1.92% | $119.11 | 7 | no | yes | -4.08% | +0.32% | |
| Q3 | $0.89 | -1.02% | $130.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.59% | -3.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.89 | -1.96% | $119.21 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.16% | +3.85% | |
| Q1 | $0.89 | -0.45% | $127.78 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +2.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.89 | -1.08% | $120.33 | 12 | no | yes | -4.86% | -1.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | 0.25% | $117.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.96% | -2.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.82 | -1.69% | $114.45 | 14 | no | yes | -4.20% | -1.69% |
- -4.09%
- -0.25%
- +0.29%
- -0.67%
- +1.46%
- +0.05%
- +1.18%
- -0.98%
- +0.47%
- -1.59%
- +0.40%
- -1.77%
- -1.39%
- +0.32%
- -3.10%
- +3.85%
- +2.31%
- -1.33%
- -2.57%
- -1.69%
DTE Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
DTE Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with DTE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $234.00
- After-tax dividend
- $152.10
- Slippage round-trip
- -$29.91
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$122.19
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.41%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~20.6%
DTE Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical DTE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DTE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -1.69% | |
| +0.70% | |
| -1.33% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.74% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.32% | |
| -1.39% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.89% | |
| -1.59% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.81% | |
| -0.67% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.78% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.