Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DXCM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$44.08
Method range
$9.46 – $199.66
median $64.09
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $44.08 | -38.29% |
| Exit multiple | $199.66 | +179.52% |
| Analyst target | $84.09 | +17.72% |
| Graham number | $9.46 | -86.76% |
- Forward DCF$44.08
- Exit multiple$199.66
- Analyst target$84.09
- Graham number$9.46
Stock price
$71.43
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.17
3Y FCF CAGR
115.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10,321.81
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
115.0%
Your model implies
27.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 115% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 5.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.9% | 24.1% | 23.5% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 21.4% |
| 10.9% | 26.3% | 25.8% | 25.2% | 24.5% | 23.9% |
| 11.9% | 28.4% | 27.9% | 27.4% | 26.8% | 26.2% |
| 12.9% | 30.4% | 29.9% | 29.4% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| 13.9% | 32.3% | 31.9% | 31.4% | 31.0% | 30.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$472M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.45
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
DexCom (DXCM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.