Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DXCM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$45.02
Method range
$9.46 – $204.76
median $62.57
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $45.02 | -38.21% |
| Exit multiple | $204.76 | +181.04% |
| Analyst target | $80.13 | +9.98% |
| Graham number | $9.46 | -87.02% |
- Forward DCF$45.02
- Exit multiple$204.76
- Analyst target$80.13
- Graham number$9.46
Stock price
$72.86
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.17
3Y FCF CAGR
115.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10638.51
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
27.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
115.0%
Your model implies
27.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 115% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 5.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 24.0% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| 10.8% | 26.2% | 25.7% | 25.1% | 24.4% | 23.7% |
| 11.8% | 28.3% | 27.8% | 27.3% | 26.7% | 26.1% |
| 12.8% | 30.3% | 29.9% | 29.4% | 28.9% | 28.3% |
| 13.8% | 32.3% | 31.8% | 31.4% | 30.9% | 30.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$472M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.44
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
DexCom (DXCM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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