ECL dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Ecolab (ECL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.15), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, ECL sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 15, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.15
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.15 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.03% | +0.40pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.65% | +2.29pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.73
Per-event yield
0.27%
Annualized yield
1.04%
Previously paid
Jun 16, 2026 ($0.73)
Last record date
Jun 16, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Ecolab (ECL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.73 | 0.16% | $268.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.99% | +3.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.73 | 0.38% | $273.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.49% | -2.89% | |
| Q4 | $0.73 | -0.01% | $261.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.98% | +1.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.65 | -0.43% | $270.61 | 9 | no | yes | -2.63% | -1.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.65 | -0.95% | $266.14 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.66% | +0.36% | |
| Q1 | $0.65 | -0.23% | $251.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.85% | -0.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.65 | 0.16% | $248.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.17% | -2.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.57 | -0.25% | $253.20 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.01% | +0.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.57 | -0.49% | $243.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.55% | -0.81% | |
| Q1 | $0.57 | 0.10% | $226.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.65% | +0.41% | |
| Q4 | $0.57 | -0.29% | $196.78 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.99% | +1.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -0.42% | $177.96 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.16% | -2.96% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | 0.52% | $182.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.79% | -0.71% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | 0.27% | $154.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.06% | +3.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | -0.94% | $144.05 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.72% | +1.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.84% | $157.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.07% | -6.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | 0.49% | $145.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.14% | +8.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 2.65% | $158.85 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.50% | +7.79% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | -0.36% | $232.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.08% | -3.22% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | 1.13% | $225.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.92% | -3.66% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with ECL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical ECL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.19%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+3.78%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+26.45%
Best event
+0.37%
Worst event
-1.53%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · ECL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.21% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| -1.53% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.27% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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