Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ECL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$141.66
Method range
$34.99 – $332.10
median $215.93
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $141.66 | -45.09% |
| Exit multiple | $290.21 | +12.50% |
| Analyst target | $332.10 | +28.74% |
| Graham number | $34.99 | -86.44% |
- Forward DCF$141.66
- Exit multiple$290.21
- Analyst target$332.10
- Graham number$34.99
Stock price
$257.97
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.35
3Y FCF CAGR
8.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$8.09
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
57.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3087.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.0%
Your model implies
57.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 52.9% | 51.5% | 50.1% | 48.5% | 46.7% |
| 8.1% | 56.5% | 55.4% | 54.2% | 52.8% | 51.4% |
| 9.1% | 59.8% | 58.9% | 57.8% | 56.7% | 55.4% |
| 10.1% | 63.0% | 62.1% | 61.2% | 60.2% | 59.1% |
| 11.1% | 65.9% | 65.2% | 64.3% | 63.4% | 62.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$8.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.91
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ecolab (ECL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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