Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ECL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$140.99
Method range
$34.99 – $327.17
median $212.92
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $140.99 | -47.17% |
| Exit multiple | $284.86 | +6.74% |
| Analyst target | $327.17 | +22.59% |
| Graham number | $34.99 | -86.89% |
- Forward DCF$140.99
- Exit multiple$284.86
- Analyst target$327.17
- Graham number$34.99
Stock price
$266.88
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.35
3Y FCF CAGR
8.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$8.05
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
58.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3,213.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.0%
Your model implies
58.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 53.5% | 52.2% | 50.8% | 49.2% | 47.4% |
| 8.1% | 57.1% | 56.0% | 54.8% | 53.5% | 52.0% |
| 9.1% | 60.5% | 59.5% | 58.5% | 57.3% | 56.1% |
| 10.1% | 63.6% | 62.8% | 61.8% | 60.8% | 59.8% |
| 11.1% | 66.6% | 65.8% | 65.0% | 64.1% | 63.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$8.78B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.90
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Ecolab (ECL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.14% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.06% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History4 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.