Eagle Financial Services (EFSI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is comparable to the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 1.05), so post-ex noise can offset much of the dividend in any single trade.
Versus its sector, EFSI sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 3, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 1.05+0.74 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 1.05 | +0.74 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.25% | +0.32pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 84% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.70% | +1.68pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.31 |
| Per-event yield | 0.82% |
| Annualized yield | 3.47% |
| Previously paid | May 4, 2026 ($0.31) |
| Last record date | May 4, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 15, 2026 |
EFSI Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Eagle Financial Services (EFSI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.31 | -0.61% | $37.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.43% | — | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -0.55% | $38.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.49% | +2.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.86% | $36.21 | 9 | no | yes | -2.15% | +0.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -0.06% | $33.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.12% | +0.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -1.90% | $30.58 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.47% | +4.02% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | 0.00% | $36.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.56% | -7.70% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | 0.00% | $33.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.39% | +5.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | -0.95% | $33.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.97% | -1.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | 3.69% | $27.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.33% | +3.04% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | -2.03% | $29.98 | 11 | no | yes | -5.44% | +0.40% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.49% | $30.75 | 11 | no | yes | -4.06% | -0.33% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | 0.00% | $31.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.54% | +0.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | 0.00% | $32.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.09% | +0.62% | |
| Q1 | $0.30 | 0.00% | $35.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.17% | +2.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | 0.16% | $36.94 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.16% | +1.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | 0.00% | $36.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.20% | +5.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | 0.00% | $34.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.69% | +0.80% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | 0.00% | $35.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.43% | +0.80% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | 0.00% | $35.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +2.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -1.47% | $34.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.85% | +0.82% |
- —
- +2.61%
- +0.08%
- +0.79%
- +4.02%
- -7.70%
- +5.15%
- -1.86%
- +3.04%
- +0.40%
- -0.33%
- +0.06%
- +0.62%
- +2.09%
- +1.00%
- +5.19%
- +0.80%
- +0.80%
- +2.06%
- +0.82%
EFSI Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
EFSI Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EFSI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $62.00
- After-tax dividend
- $40.30
- Slippage round-trip
- -$7.59
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$32.71
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.43%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~21.7%
EFSI Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EFSI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EFSI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.82% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.94% | |
| -0.33% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.93% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.82% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.