Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EME is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$24,436.52
Method range
$114.43 – $24,436.52
median $735.93
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $24,436.52 | +2,889.40% |
| Exit multiple | $484.19 | -40.77% |
| Analyst target | $987.67 | +20.82% |
| Graham number | $114.43 | -86.00% |
- Forward DCF$24,436.52
- Exit multiple$484.19
- Analyst target$987.67
- Graham number$114.43
Stock price
$817.44
EPS (TTM)
$29.77
5Y EPS CAGR
63.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24436.52
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
12.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 96.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
63.7%
Your model implies
12.8%
Next-year analyst consensus
-1.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
| 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| 11.4% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% |
| 12.4% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$268M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.17
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
EMCOR Group (EME) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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