EOG Resources (EOG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.30), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, EOG sits roughly in line with the Energy sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jul 17, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.02.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 2d+1.0d vs sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.30in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.30 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.05% | -0.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.59% | -0.41pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $1.02 |
| Per-event yield | 0.77% |
| Annualized yield | 3.14% |
| Previously paid | Apr 16, 2026 ($1.02) |
| Last record date | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
EOG Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for EOG Resources (EOG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.02 | -0.60% | $132.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.10% | +1.89% | |
| Q1 | $1.02 | -1.52% | $108.02 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.47% | +0.56% | |
| Q4 | $1.02 | -0.65% | $107.25 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.15% | +0.14% | |
| Q3 | $0.97 | -1.33% | $118.80 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.07% | +1.03% | |
| Q2 | $0.97 | -0.31% | $107.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.79% | +6.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.97 | -0.87% | $138.05 | >30 | no | no | -9.27% | -3.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.91 | -0.41% | $127.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.28% | -1.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.91 | -0.61% | $131.52 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.82% | -4.19% | |
| Q2 | $0.91 | -0.98% | $135.29 | 7 | no | yes | -3.44% | -0.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.91 | -0.76% | $116.05 | 11 | no | yes | -6.13% | -4.11% | |
| Q4 | $1.50 | -0.51% | $118.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.58% | +3.46% | |
| Q4 | $0.82 | 0.65% | $133.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.63% | -1.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | -1.15% | $122.57 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.93% | +2.34% | |
| Q2 | $0.82 | -0.47% | $122.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.30% | -2.64% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -4.61% | $109.20 | 5 | yes | yes | -9.78% | -2.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.82 | -0.44% | $130.45 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.16% | +3.49% | |
| Q4 | $1.50 | 0.03% | $127.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.96% | +3.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -1.89% | $127.34 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.37% | +6.60% | |
| Q3 | $1.50 | 0.16% | $122.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.66% | -2.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -4.73% | $99.39 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.27% | +4.95% |
- +1.89%
- +0.56%
- +0.14%
- +1.03%
- +6.47%
- -3.71%
- -1.58%
- -4.19%
- -0.35%
- -4.11%
- +3.46%
- -1.03%
- +2.34%
- -2.64%
- -2.26%
- +3.49%
- +3.18%
- +6.60%
- -2.58%
- +4.95%
EOG Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
EOG Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with EOG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $204.00
- After-tax dividend
- $132.60
- Slippage round-trip
- -$26.48
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$106.12
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.40%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~20.2%
EOG Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical EOG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · EOG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.75% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +0.59% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +1.27% | |
| -4.11% | |
| -0.35% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.71% | |
| -3.71% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.94% | |
| +0.77% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.