Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EOG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$640.33
Method range
$69.75 – $640.33
median $163.05
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $640.33 | +344.67% |
| Exit multiple | $169.92 | +18.00% |
| Analyst target | $156.18 | +8.46% |
| Graham number | $69.75 | -51.56% |
- Forward DCF$640.33
- Exit multiple$169.92
- Analyst target$156.18
- Graham number$69.75
Stock price
$144.00
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.48
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$43.50
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
10.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -231.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.7%
Your model implies
10.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| 5.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| 6.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| 7.0% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
| 8.0% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 15.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.05
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.01B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.26
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
EOG Resources (EOG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.81% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.83% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.