Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FCX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$148.11
Method range
$13.62 – $148.11
median $72.21
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $148.11 | +127.86% |
| Exit multiple | $72.14 | +10.98% |
| Analyst target | $72.28 | +11.20% |
| Graham number | $13.62 | -79.05% |
- Forward DCF$148.11
- Exit multiple$72.14
- Analyst target$72.28
- Graham number$13.62
Stock price
$65.00
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.36
3Y FCF CAGR
-32.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.57
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -11,252.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-32.7%
Your model implies
42.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -33% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 38.6% | 37.8% | 37.0% | 36.1% | 35.1% |
| 10.5% | 41.2% | 40.5% | 39.8% | 39.0% | 38.1% |
| 11.5% | 43.6% | 43.0% | 42.4% | 41.7% | 40.9% |
| 12.5% | 46.0% | 45.4% | 44.8% | 44.2% | 43.5% |
| 13.5% | 48.2% | 47.7% | 47.2% | 46.6% | 46.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.20
Low vs growth
Net debt
$8.15B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.36
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.30% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.92% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.