Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FCX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$151.50
Method range
$13.62 – $151.50
median $69.86
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $151.50 | +139.07% |
| Exit multiple | $68.84 | +8.63% |
| Analyst target | $70.88 | +11.85% |
| Graham number | $13.62 | -78.51% |
- Forward DCF$151.50
- Exit multiple$68.84
- Analyst target$70.88
- Graham number$13.62
Stock price
$63.37
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.36
3Y FCF CAGR
-32.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.58
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
41.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -10919.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-32.7%
Your model implies
41.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -33% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 37.8% | 37.1% | 36.2% | 35.3% | 34.3% |
| 10.3% | 40.4% | 39.7% | 39.0% | 38.2% | 37.3% |
| 11.3% | 42.9% | 42.3% | 41.6% | 40.9% | 40.1% |
| 12.3% | 45.2% | 44.7% | 44.1% | 43.4% | 42.8% |
| 13.3% | 47.5% | 47.0% | 46.4% | 45.9% | 45.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.20
Low vs growth
Net debt
$8.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.36
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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