FIX dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Comfort Systems USA (FIX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.03), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FIX sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 13, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.90.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.03
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.03 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.77% | -0.43pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.80% | -1.78pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 25 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.90
Per-event yield
0.04%
Annualized yield
0.17%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($0.80)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
May 26, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Comfort Systems USA (FIX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.80 | -3.10% | $2,042.36 | 25 | no | yes | -14.04% | -10.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -4.32% | $1,348.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.12% | +1.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -1.00% | $973.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.51% | -9.90% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -1.25% | $702.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.57% | -1.08% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | 0.76% | $463.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.45% | +1.85% | |
| Q1 | $0.40 | -3.84% | $324.24 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.63% | +6.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.35 | 0.00% | $446.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.46% | +9.87% | |
| Q3 | $0.30 | 0.28% | $313.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.43% | +6.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.30 | 0.58% | $347.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.55% | -8.84% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | 0.02% | $313.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.96% | -3.45% | |
| Q4 | $0.25 | -0.47% | $201.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.12% | -1.78% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -0.06% | $178.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.48% | +1.67% | |
| Q2 | $0.20 | 0.25% | $150.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.88% | -3.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.02% | $148.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.51% | -6.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.02% | $121.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.11% | +4.04% | |
| Q3 | $0.14 | -1.21% | $107.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.49% | -4.74% | |
| Q2 | $0.14 | 1.10% | $82.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.06% | +0.04% | |
| Q1 | $0.13 | -2.29% | $89.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.29% | +3.60% | |
| Q4 | $0.13 | -0.66% | $99.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.60% | +3.42% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.14% | $77.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.43% | -5.56% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with FIX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical FIX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.42%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
-8.34%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+2,472.45%
Best event
+0.17%
Worst event
-10.44%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FIX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.15% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.05% | |
| -10.44% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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