Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FIX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$7,088.90
Method range
$137.57 – $7,088.90
median $1,463.21
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $7,088.90 | +284.44% |
| Exit multiple | $957.10 | -48.09% |
| Analyst target | $1,969.33 | +6.80% |
| Graham number | $137.57 | -92.54% |
- Forward DCF$7,088.90
- Exit multiple$957.10
- Analyst target$1,969.33
- Graham number$137.57
Stock price
$1843.94
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.86
3Y FCF CAGR
61.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3133.75
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
52.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 41.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
61.0%
Your model implies
52.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 61% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 10.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.9% | 48.5% | 47.8% | 47.0% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
| 11.9% | 51.0% | 50.4% | 49.7% | 49.0% | 48.2% |
| 12.9% | 53.4% | 52.9% | 52.2% | 51.6% | 50.9% |
| 13.9% | 55.8% | 55.2% | 54.7% | 54.1% | 53.5% |
| 14.9% | 58.1% | 57.6% | 57.0% | 56.5% | 55.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.70
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$196M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.67
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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