Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FIX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$7,014.60
Method range
$137.57 – $7,014.60
median $1,491.38
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $7,014.60 | +291.64% |
| Exit multiple | $967.33 | -45.99% |
| Analyst target | $2,015.43 | +12.53% |
| Graham number | $137.57 | -92.32% |
- Forward DCF$7,014.60
- Exit multiple$967.33
- Analyst target$2,015.43
- Graham number$137.57
Stock price
$1,791.06
FCF / share (TTM)
$6.86
3Y FCF CAGR
61.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3,099.71
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
51.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 42.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
61.0%
Your model implies
51.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 61% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 10.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 48.2% | 47.5% | 46.8% | 46.0% | 45.2% |
| 12.0% | 50.7% | 50.1% | 49.4% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| 13.0% | 53.1% | 52.5% | 51.9% | 51.3% | 50.6% |
| 14.0% | 55.5% | 54.9% | 54.4% | 53.8% | 53.2% |
| 15.0% | 57.7% | 57.2% | 56.7% | 56.2% | 55.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.70
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$196M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.66
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.