Fox (FOXA) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 10 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.30), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FOXA sits roughly in line with the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 2, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 90%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.30in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 10 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.30 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.71% | -0.22pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 47% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.63% | -0.88pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.28 |
| Per-event yield | 0.49% |
| Annualized yield | 0.96% |
| Previously paid | Mar 4, 2026 ($0.28) |
| Last record date | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 25, 2026 |
FOXA Dividend Capture History — Last 15 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Fox (FOXA). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.28 | -0.37% | $57.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.00% | +1.10% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | -0.54% | $61.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.81% | -5.86% | |
| Q1 | $0.27 | -0.27% | $56.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.41% | -6.47% | |
| Q3 | $0.27 | -0.49% | $41.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.63% | -3.31% | |
| Q1 | $0.26 | -1.38% | $29.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.58% | +2.34% | |
| Q3 | $0.26 | -0.70% | $32.77 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.98% | -3.45% | |
| Q1 | $0.25 | -1.49% | $35.68 | >30 | no | no | -9.75% | -2.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.25 | -0.29% | $34.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.16% | -1.89% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -0.98% | $41.83 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.77% | +0.60% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.59% | $37.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.10% | -2.35% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -0.43% | $42.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.65% | +4.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -3.80% | $27.86 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.80% | +2.05% | |
| Q1 | $0.23 | -2.15% | $32.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -28.00% | -8.63% | |
| Q3 | $0.23 | -1.54% | $33.17 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +4.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.23 | -0.49% | $36.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.55% | +1.12% |
- +1.10%
- -5.86%
- -6.47%
- -3.31%
- +2.34%
- -3.45%
- -2.07%
- -1.89%
- +0.60%
- -2.35%
- +4.91%
- +2.05%
- -8.63%
- +4.10%
- +1.12%
FOXA Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 67% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 27% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 7% |
FOXA Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with FOXA's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $56.00
- After-tax dividend
- $36.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$11.47
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$24.93
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.22%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~11.0%
FOXA Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical FOXA ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
15 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FOXA (15)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.63% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.73% | |
| -2.07% | |
| +0.79% | |
| +0.90% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.49% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.