Fortive (FTV) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FTV sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 22, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.06.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.07-0.11 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.02% | +0.34pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.41% | +1.62pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $0.06 |
| Per-event yield | 0.11% |
| Annualized yield | 0.39% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($0.06) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 27, 2026 |
FTV Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Fortive (FTV). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.06 | -0.69% | $54.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | +0.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 0.24% | $53.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +1.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -0.52% | $49.57 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.56% | -1.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | -0.41% | $53.54 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.51% | +2.91% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | 0.22% | $59.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.84% | -3.64% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | -0.02% | $59.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.61% | -0.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.08 | 0.34% | $55.30 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.02% | +4.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.08 | -0.02% | $55.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | -0.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.08 | 0.64% | $63.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.85% | +0.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.08 | 0.06% | $50.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +2.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.07 | -0.10% | $59.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.71% | -1.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.07 | 0.42% | $48.08 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.04% | +5.57% | |
| Q1 | $0.07 | 0.40% | $49.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.52% | +2.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.07 | -0.14% | $49.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +1.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.07 | 0.06% | $48.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.31% | +1.12% | |
| Q2 | $0.07 | 1.44% | $44.57 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.63% | +5.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.07 | -1.82% | $47.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.03% | +0.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.07 | -0.64% | $59.06 | >30 | no | no | -6.82% | -5.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.07 | 0.20% | $55.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | +0.18% | |
| Q2 | $0.07 | 0.66% | $54.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.42% | +2.23% |
- +0.71%
- +1.09%
- -1.78%
- +2.91%
- -3.64%
- -0.52%
- +4.14%
- -0.99%
- +0.97%
- +2.48%
- -1.94%
- +5.57%
- +2.51%
- +1.50%
- +1.12%
- +5.97%
- +0.68%
- -5.15%
- +0.18%
- +2.23%
FTV Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
FTV Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with FTV's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $12.00
- After-tax dividend
- $7.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$10.98
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-3.18
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.03%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.03%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-1.5%
FTV Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical FTV ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FTV (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| -5.15% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.