GD dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
General Dynamics (GD) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.31), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GD sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 1, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.31
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.31 | +0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.44% | -0.10pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.18% | +0.84pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$1.59
Per-event yield
0.44%
Annualized yield
1.65%
Previously paid
Jul 2, 2026 ($1.59)
Last record date
Jul 2, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 7, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for General Dynamics (GD). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $1.59 | 0.68% | $362.86 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.31% | +3.80% | |
| Q2 | $1.59 | -0.46% | $343.90 | 14 | no | yes | -8.25% | -1.75% | |
| Q1 | $1.50 | -0.39% | $368.69 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.75% | -0.99% | |
| Q4 | $1.50 | -0.56% | $342.77 | 11 | no | yes | -4.50% | -2.95% | |
| Q3 | $1.50 | -0.29% | $293.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.54% | +3.33% | |
| Q2 | $1.50 | -0.55% | $271.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.30% | +1.05% | |
| Q1 | $1.42 | -0.15% | $268.83 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.12% | +0.90% | |
| Q4 | $1.42 | -0.35% | $296.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +4.68% | |
| Q3 | $1.42 | -0.22% | $284.88 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +0.15% | |
| Q2 | $1.42 | -0.76% | $290.04 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.42% | -1.16% | |
| Q1 | $1.32 | -0.37% | $249.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.04% | +6.88% | |
| Q4 | $1.32 | -0.81% | $219.33 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.19% | +8.84% | |
| Q3 | $1.32 | -0.95% | $215.19 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +1.44% | |
| Q2 | $1.32 | -0.64% | $229.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.34% | -0.17% | |
| Q1 | $1.26 | -0.50% | $237.00 | 23 | no | yes | -7.03% | -3.22% | |
| Q4 | $1.26 | -0.75% | $226.68 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.06% | +1.64% | |
| Q2 | $1.26 | -1.11% | $219.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.41% | +1.41% | |
| Q2 | $1.26 | -0.56% | $240.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.21% | +1.76% | |
| Q1 | $1.19 | -0.25% | $211.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.32% | -1.98% | |
| Q4 | $1.19 | 0.27% | $199.36 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.20% | +3.50% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with GD's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GD ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.06%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+1.11%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+101.19%
Best event
+0.61%
Worst event
-3.22%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GD (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.60% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.56% | |
| -3.22% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.51% | |
| -2.95% | |
| +0.41% | |
| -1.75% | |
| +0.44% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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