Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$629.48
Method range
$95.09 – $629.48
median $362.54
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $629.48 | +81.70% |
| Exit multiple | $316.24 | -8.72% |
| Analyst target | $408.83 | +18.01% |
| Graham number | $95.09 | -72.55% |
- Forward DCF$629.48
- Exit multiple$316.24
- Analyst target$408.83
- Graham number$95.09
Stock price
$346.44
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.22
3Y FCF CAGR
4.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$236.80
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
9.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -46.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.8%
Your model implies
9.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | -0.5% |
| 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| 6.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% |
| 7.3% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% |
| 8.3% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.34
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
General Dynamics (GD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation