Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$614.91
Method range
$95.09 – $614.91
median $366.17
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $614.91 | +64.79% |
| Exit multiple | $317.02 | -15.05% |
| Analyst target | $415.33 | +11.30% |
| Graham number | $95.09 | -74.52% |
- Forward DCF$614.91
- Exit multiple$317.02
- Analyst target$415.33
- Graham number$95.09
Stock price
$373.16
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.22
3Y FCF CAGR
4.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$231.45
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
10.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -61.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.8%
Your model implies
10.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| 5.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| 6.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| 7.4% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% |
| 8.4% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.46B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.34
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
General Dynamics (GD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.90% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.66% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History7 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.