Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.40), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HBAN sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 16, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.40+0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.40 | +0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.51% | -0.94pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.77% | -0.39pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.15 |
| Per-event yield | 1.01% |
| Annualized yield | 3.68% |
| Previously paid | Mar 18, 2026 ($0.15) |
| Last record date | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 1, 2026 |
HBAN Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Huntington Bancshares (HBAN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.43% | $15.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.25% | +1.98% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.34% | $17.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.44% | +0.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.69% | $17.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.70% | +0.55% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.85% | $15.70 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +4.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.41% | $14.90 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.75% | +3.86% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -0.30% | $16.94 | 18 | no | yes | -6.55% | -1.56% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.34% | $14.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.98% | +0.17% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.29% | $12.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.86% | +4.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -2.14% | $13.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +3.10% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.52% | $13.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.39% | -2.77% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -2.30% | $10.86 | >30 | no | no | -7.55% | -3.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.75% | $10.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.56% | -4.29% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -4.58% | $11.13 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.91% | -1.75% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | -1.67% | $13.74 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +3.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -2.31% | $14.26 | 23 | no | yes | -10.94% | -6.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -2.55% | $12.54 | 7 | no | yes | -6.46% | +1.00% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -1.88% | $15.43 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.15% | -0.87% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 0.07% | $15.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.35% | +0.23% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | -0.46% | $15.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.65% | +0.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | -1.52% | $14.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.03% | -2.97% |
- +1.98%
- +0.82%
- +0.55%
- +4.68%
- +3.86%
- -1.56%
- +0.17%
- +4.32%
- +3.10%
- -2.77%
- -3.64%
- -4.29%
- -1.75%
- +3.38%
- -6.42%
- +1.00%
- -0.87%
- +0.23%
- +0.53%
- -2.97%
HBAN Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 5 | 25% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
HBAN Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HBAN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $32.00
- After-tax dividend
- $20.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$3.08
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$17.72
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.58%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~29.0%
HBAN Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HBAN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HBAN (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.04% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +1.01% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +1.00% | |
| -6.42% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.39% | |
| +1.43% | |
| -3.64% | |
| +1.18% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.25% | |
| +1.06% | |
| -1.56% | |
| +1.04% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +0.89% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +1.01% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.