Honeywell International (HON) Dividend Capture: 0.49% per event (2.2% annualized)
Honeywell International (HON) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.27), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HON sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is May 15, 2026, with an expected dividend of $1.19.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.27+0.09 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
- 30-day touch rate
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise (div / ATR)
- 0.27+0.09 vs sector
- Avg gap on ex-date
- -0.35%in line with sector
- Win rate at MOC exit
- 60%
- Median drawdown during hold
- -2.54%+1.43pp vs sector
- Best / worst touch (days)
- 1 / 23
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
- Dividend
- $1.19
- Per-event yield
- 0.49%
- Annualized yield
- 2.25%
- Previously paid
- Feb 27, 2026 ($1.19)
- Last record date
- Feb 27, 2026
- Last payment date
- Mar 13, 2026
How HON ranks in Industrials
Compared with other stocks in this sector that pass our capture-quality filter (87 tickers). Lower rank number is better on every metric below.
- 30-day touch rate#42of 87
Beats ~52% of peers on this metric
- Median days to touch#1of 87
Beats ~99% of peers on this metric
- Signal-to-noise#20of 87
Beats ~77% of peers on this metric
HON Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Honeywell International (HON). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.19 | 0.21% | $240.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.19% | -1.83% | |
| Q4 | $1.19 | -0.71% | $199.87 | 23 | no | yes | -6.56% | -4.33% | |
| Q3 | $1.13 | -0.08% | $218.20 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.47% | +2.64% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | 0.00% | $222.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.75% | +0.39% | |
| Q1 | $1.13 | 0.34% | $212.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.55% | +1.59% | |
| Q4 | $1.13 | -0.72% | $230.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | -0.19% | |
| Q3 | $1.08 | -0.44% | $198.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +2.57% | |
| Q2 | $1.08 | -0.04% | $205.06 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.98% | -2.24% | |
| Q1 | $1.08 | 0.36% | $197.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.76% | +3.10% | |
| Q4 | $1.08 | -0.41% | $184.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +3.88% | |
| Q3 | $1.03 | -0.54% | $189.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.20% | -1.18% | |
| Q2 | $1.03 | -0.71% | $197.34 | 6 | no | yes | -3.27% | +0.98% | |
| Q1 | $1.03 | 0.28% | $195.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | -0.01% | |
| Q4 | $1.03 | -0.64% | $211.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +1.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.12% | $197.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.46% | +3.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -0.54% | $192.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.71% | +0.84% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -2.24% | $178.96 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +5.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -0.21% | $227.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.53% | -2.76% | |
| Q3 | $0.93 | -0.28% | $234.18 | >30 | no | no | -3.48% | -2.36% | |
| Q2 | $0.93 | -0.55% | $220.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +1.37% |
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.19
- Gap %
- 0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $240.88
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -4.19%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.83%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.19
- Gap %
- -0.71%
- Pre-ex close
- $199.87
- High touch (td)
- 23
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -6.56%
- P&L 5d %
- -4.33%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.13
- Gap %
- -0.08%
- Pre-ex close
- $218.20
- High touch (td)
- 4
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.47%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.64%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.13
- Gap %
- 0.00%
- Pre-ex close
- $222.29
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.75%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.39%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.13
- Gap %
- 0.34%
- Pre-ex close
- $212.27
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.55%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.59%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.13
- Gap %
- -0.72%
- Pre-ex close
- $230.67
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.54%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.19%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.08
- Gap %
- -0.44%
- Pre-ex close
- $198.46
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.82%
- P&L 5d %
- +2.57%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.08
- Gap %
- -0.04%
- Pre-ex close
- $205.06
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.98%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.24%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.08
- Gap %
- 0.36%
- Pre-ex close
- $197.57
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.76%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.10%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.08
- Gap %
- -0.41%
- Pre-ex close
- $184.62
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.77%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.88%
Q3
- Dividend
- $1.03
- Gap %
- -0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $189.24
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.20%
- P&L 5d %
- -1.18%
Q2
- Dividend
- $1.03
- Gap %
- -0.71%
- Pre-ex close
- $197.34
- High touch (td)
- 6
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.27%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.98%
Q1
- Dividend
- $1.03
- Gap %
- 0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $195.49
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.00%
- P&L 5d %
- -0.01%
Q4
- Dividend
- $1.03
- Gap %
- -0.64%
- Pre-ex close
- $211.36
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.38%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.74%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.98
- Gap %
- -0.12%
- Pre-ex close
- $197.23
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -0.46%
- P&L 5d %
- +3.79%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.98
- Gap %
- -0.54%
- Pre-ex close
- $192.02
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -3.71%
- P&L 5d %
- +0.84%
Q1
- Dividend
- $0.98
- Gap %
- -2.24%
- Pre-ex close
- $178.96
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -2.54%
- P&L 5d %
- +5.33%
Q4
- Dividend
- $0.98
- Gap %
- -0.21%
- Pre-ex close
- $227.75
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -5.53%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.76%
Q3
- Dividend
- $0.93
- Gap %
- -0.28%
- Pre-ex close
- $234.18
- High touch (td)
- >30
- Recovered 5d
- no
- Recovered 30d
- no
- Drawdown
- -3.48%
- P&L 5d %
- -2.36%
Q2
- Dividend
- $0.93
- Gap %
- -0.55%
- Pre-ex close
- $220.04
- High touch (td)
- 1
- Recovered 5d
- yes
- Recovered 30d
- yes
- Drawdown
- -1.48%
- P&L 5d %
- +1.37%
HON Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
- ≤ 1 day1680%
- 2–3 days00%
- 4–5 days15%
- 6–10 days15%
- 11–30 days15%
- 30+15%
80% within 1d · 85% within 5d · 95% within 30d
HON Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HON's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
Holding shorter than the IRS 61-day rule disqualifies the dividend from “qualified” status — it is taxed as ordinary income at your marginal rate. Adjust Tax % accordingly.
- Gross dividend
- $238.00
- After-tax dividend
- $154.70
- Slippage round-trip
- -$48.18
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$106.52
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.22%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~11.1%
HON Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HON ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close (limit-order P&L on first intraday touch), or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan and see realized P&L per event.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HON (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.42% | |
| -2.36% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.55% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.52% | |
| -4.33% | |
| +0.49% |
Looking for full price seasonality? See HON seasonality →
Frequently asked questions
What is the dividend capture success rate for HON?
Across the last 20 ex-dividend events for Honeywell International (HON), the post-ex intraday high reached the pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of cases, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day. We measure recovery via intraday high because that is when a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close would actually fill, ending the trade at break-even with the dividend pocketed.
How long does it take HON to recover its dividend gap?
Historically, HON touches its pre-ex close in a median of 1 trading day, with the best case at 1 and the worst case at 23 trading days within our 30-day measurement window. A stricter close-based recovery (mark-to-MOC) is also computed in the database; explore it with the per-ticker simulator’s “Hold N days, exit MOC” mode rather than in the event table.
Is the dividend on HON large enough to capture?
HON has a signal-to-noise ratio of 0.27 (dividend / 14-day ATR). Values above 1.0 indicate the dividend is larger than the typical daily price swing, making capture trades more viable; below 0.5 means typical daily noise can easily wipe out the gain.
When is the next ex-dividend date for HON?
The next ex-dividend date for Honeywell International (HON) is May 15, 2026, confirmed (declared by the company).
How does HON compare to its sector for dividend capture?
Within Industrials, the median 30-day pre-ex touch rate is 95%. HON sits at 95% — at or below the sector benchmark.
Why does HON dividend capture measure recovery via intraday high, not close?
A realistic capture trade exits via a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close: the moment the post-ex intraday high touches that level, the order fills and the trader pockets the dividend at break-even. Measuring recovery via close is stricter (mark-to-MOC); we expose that path in the per-ticker simulator as the "Hold N days, exit MOC" mode. The high-based primary metric directly answers the trader-facing question "would my limit have filled?" — close-based answers "would I have been flat at the bell?".
How are dividend capture trades taxed in the US?
Holding period matters. Dividends are "qualified" (taxed at the long-term capital gains rate, 0/15/20%) only when the underlying shares are held for more than 60 days during the 121-day window centered on the ex-dividend date. Dividend capture trades typically hold less than 61 days, so the dividend is taxed at your ordinary income bracket. Always consult a qualified tax advisor.
What are the main risks of a dividend capture strategy?
Three structural risks: (1) the share price may not recover the gap within your holding window; (2) ordinary-income tax can consume the after-tax yield; (3) transaction costs and bid/ask slippage can wipe out small dividends. Historical statistics measure base rates; they do not guarantee any single trade will work.