HON dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Honeywell International (HON) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.14), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HON sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.70.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.14
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.14 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.37% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.70% | +1.33pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 23 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.70
Per-event yield
0.16%
Annualized yield
3.18%
Previously paid
May 15, 2026 ($1.19)
Last record date
May 15, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 5, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Honeywell International (HON). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.19 | -0.96% | $435.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.86% | +4.96% | |
| Q1 | $1.19 | 0.21% | $481.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.19% | -2.07% | |
| Q4 | $1.19 | -0.71% | $399.74 | 23 | no | yes | -6.56% | -4.63% | |
| Q3 | $1.13 | -0.08% | $436.40 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.47% | +2.38% | |
| Q2 | $1.13 | 0.00% | $444.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.75% | +0.14% | |
| Q1 | $1.13 | 0.34% | $424.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.55% | +1.33% | |
| Q4 | $1.13 | -0.72% | $461.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | -0.43% | |
| Q3 | $1.08 | -0.44% | $396.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +2.30% | |
| Q2 | $1.08 | -0.04% | $410.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.98% | -2.50% | |
| Q1 | $1.08 | 0.36% | $395.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.76% | +2.82% | |
| Q4 | $1.08 | -0.41% | $369.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.77% | +3.59% | |
| Q3 | $1.03 | -0.54% | $378.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.20% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $1.03 | -0.71% | $394.68 | 6 | no | yes | -3.27% | +0.72% | |
| Q1 | $1.03 | 0.28% | $390.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.00% | -0.27% | |
| Q4 | $1.03 | -0.64% | $422.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +1.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.98 | -0.12% | $394.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.46% | +3.54% | |
| Q2 | $0.98 | -0.54% | $384.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.71% | +0.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.98 | -2.24% | $357.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.54% | +5.06% | |
| Q4 | $0.98 | -0.21% | $455.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.53% | -2.97% | |
| Q3 | $0.93 | -0.28% | $468.36 | >30 | no | no | -3.48% | -2.56% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with HON's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical HON ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.10%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-2.05%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-4.38%
Best event
+0.72%
Worst event
-4.63%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HON (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.56% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.26% | |
| -4.63% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.27% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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