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Fair Value for Robinhood (HOOD)

See growth priced into Robinhood (HOOD): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

FCF / share

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what HOOD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,798,695.86

Margin of safety
+99.99% vs current price $104.48

Method range

$9.53 $1,798,695.86

median $105.28

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,798,695.86
  • Exit multiple$88.37
  • Analyst target$122.19
  • Graham number$9.53

Stock price

$104.48

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.33

3Y FCF CAGR

15.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$24.27

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

37.4%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -330.4% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

15.1%

Your model implies

37.4%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)15.0%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)15%
3Y CAGR 15%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 15% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
13.0%34.3%33.8%33.3%32.8%32.2%
14.0%36.3%35.8%35.4%34.9%34.4%
15.0%38.2%37.8%37.4%36.9%36.5%
15.0%38.2%37.8%37.4%36.9%36.5%
15.0%38.2%37.8%37.4%36.9%36.5%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday53.3
5Y low23.3
Median53.3
5Y high10,241.2
P/SToday22.5· at high
5Y low5.3
Median8.5
5Y high22.5
EV/EBITDAToday51.2
5Y low31.8
Median51.2
5Y high1,309.6

Net debt

$11.1B

Total debt − cash

Beta

2.34

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions

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