Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HOOD is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,798,695.86
Method range
$9.53 – $1,798,695.86
median $97.02
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,798,695.86 | +2,180,930.51% |
| Exit multiple | $85.68 | +3.90% |
| Analyst target | $108.36 | +31.39% |
| Graham number | $9.53 | -88.45% |
- Forward DCF$1,798,695.86
- Exit multiple$85.68
- Analyst target$108.36
- Graham number$9.53
Stock price
$82.47
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.33
3Y FCF CAGR
16.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$26.62
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
33.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -209.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
16.5%
Your model implies
33.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 16% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 30.7% | 30.3% | 29.8% | 29.3% | 28.7% |
| 14.0% | 32.6% | 32.2% | 31.8% | 31.3% | 30.8% |
| 15.0% | 34.5% | 34.1% | 33.7% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| 15.0% | 34.5% | 34.1% | 33.7% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| 15.0% | 34.5% | 34.1% | 33.7% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$11.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Robinhood (HOOD) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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