Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ICE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$165.09
Method range
$54.07 – $226.60
median $180.76
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $165.09 | +16.67% |
| Exit multiple | $226.60 | +60.14% |
| Analyst target | $196.43 | +38.82% |
| Graham number | $54.07 | -61.79% |
- Forward DCF$165.09
- Exit multiple$226.60
- Analyst target$196.43
- Graham number$54.07
Stock price
$141.50
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.03
3Y FCF CAGR
12.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$62.78
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -125.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
12.3%
Your model implies
23.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 12% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| 8.4% | 22.2% | 21.4% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| 9.4% | 24.7% | 24.0% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 21.6% |
| 10.4% | 27.0% | 26.4% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 24.3% |
| 11.4% | 29.1% | 28.6% | 28.0% | 27.4% | 26.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.24
Low vs growth
Net debt
$19.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.96
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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