IP dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
International Paper (IP) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.41), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, IP sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Aug 14, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.46.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.41
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.41 | +0.22 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.25% | -0.88pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.43% | +0.51pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.46
Per-event yield
1.47%
Annualized yield
4.46%
Previously paid
May 22, 2026 ($0.46)
Last record date
May 22, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 12, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for International Paper (IP). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.46 | -0.98% | $31.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +8.42% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -7.70% | $46.87 | >30 | no | no | -16.32% | -7.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -2.06% | $37.89 | 6 | no | yes | -6.15% | +0.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.42% | $47.76 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +3.33% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -2.59% | $48.63 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.52% | -1.99% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | 0.58% | $55.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.51% | +0.38% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -1.56% | $56.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.62% | +5.01% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.04% | $46.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.17% | +4.99% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | 0.64% | $42.10 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.52% | +8.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -1.15% | $35.74 | 7 | no | yes | -5.43% | -1.84% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.46% | $32.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +1.61% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -1.61% | $35.42 | 15 | no | yes | -5.22% | -2.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -1.46% | $31.46 | 9 | no | yes | -7.79% | -1.96% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -2.55% | $39.28 | >30 | no | no | -8.81% | -5.92% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -1.20% | $36.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.34% | +0.06% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.05% | $43.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.63% | +0.58% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | 0.36% | $47.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.42% | -0.70% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -1.40% | $46.57 | 2 | yes | yes | -12.28% | -1.48% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | -0.78% | $50.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.92% | -4.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.58% | $56.74 | 11 | no | yes | -3.79% | -1.04% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with IP's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical IP ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.32%
Win rate (20 trades)
70%
Cumulative P&L
-6.40%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-28.46%
Best event
+1.47%
Worst event
-7.50%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · IP (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -1.04% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.99% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.26% | |
| -5.92% | |
| -1.96% | |
| -2.53% | |
| +1.43% | |
| -1.84% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +1.00% | |
| +0.81% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.95% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -7.50% | |
| +1.47% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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