Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what IP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$8.20 – $44.00
median $42.88
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $42.88 | +12.57% |
| Analyst target | $44.00 | +15.52% |
| Graham number | $8.20 | -78.48% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$42.88
- Analyst target$44.00
- Graham number$8.20
Stock price
$38.09
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.17
3Y FCF CAGR
-17.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.67
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
39.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -5,571.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-17.3%
Your model implies
39.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 34.8% | 33.7% | 32.4% | 31.1% | 29.5% |
| 8.2% | 37.9% | 37.0% | 35.9% | 34.8% | 33.6% |
| 9.2% | 40.8% | 40.0% | 39.1% | 38.1% | 37.1% |
| 10.2% | 43.5% | 42.8% | 42.0% | 41.1% | 40.2% |
| 11.2% | 46.0% | 45.4% | 44.7% | 43.9% | 43.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$9.66B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.90
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
International Paper (IP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.17% TTM
- Dividend Profile4.86% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.