Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what IP is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$8.20 – $46.75
median $43.35
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $43.35 | +28.97% |
| Analyst target | $46.75 | +39.10% |
| Graham number | $8.20 | -75.61% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$43.35
- Analyst target$46.75
- Graham number$8.20
Stock price
$33.61
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.17
3Y FCF CAGR
-17.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.68
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
36.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -4849.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-17.3%
Your model implies
36.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0% | 32.6% | 31.5% | 30.2% | 28.8% | 27.3% |
| 8.0% | 35.7% | 34.7% | 33.7% | 32.6% | 31.3% |
| 9.0% | 38.6% | 37.7% | 36.8% | 35.9% | 34.8% |
| 10.0% | 41.2% | 40.5% | 39.7% | 38.9% | 38.0% |
| 11.0% | 43.8% | 43.1% | 42.4% | 41.7% | 40.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$9.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.90
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
International Paper (IP) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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