KKR & Co. (KKR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.06), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, KKR sits roughly in line with the Financial Services sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 14, 2026 (±6 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.06-0.24 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.06 | -0.24 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.67% | +1.24pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.82% | +0.56pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 28 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±6 days.
| Dividend | $0.20 |
| Per-event yield | 0.19% |
| Annualized yield | 0.77% |
| Previously paid | Feb 17, 2026 ($0.18) |
| Last record date | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 3, 2026 |
KKR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for KKR & Co. (KKR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.18 | 0.27% | $101.73 | 1 | yes | yes | -16.92% | -5.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.18 | -0.34% | $119.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.60% | -1.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.18 | 0.09% | $142.67 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.67% | -0.90% | |
| Q2 | $0.18 | 7.32% | $118.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +6.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | 0.22% | $139.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.71% | -5.70% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | -0.04% | $137.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.27% | +13.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | 0.11% | $113.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +5.70% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | 0.64% | $102.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.17% | +2.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | -0.08% | $95.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.96% | +0.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.05% | $66.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.75% | +4.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.17 | -0.13% | $60.45 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.67% | -0.11% | |
| Q2 | $0.17 | 0.34% | $49.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +3.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.15 | -2.60% | $58.90 | >30 | no | no | -8.12% | -6.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.15 | 4.87% | $50.50 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.30% | +3.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.15 | 0.60% | $56.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.59% | -4.26% | |
| Q2 | $0.15 | 2.65% | $48.30 | 1 | yes | yes | 1.10% | +7.48% | |
| Q1 | $0.14 | -1.24% | $62.20 | 28 | no | yes | -11.40% | -1.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.14 | -0.13% | $78.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.62% | +0.45% | |
| Q3 | $0.14 | 0.08% | $66.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.79% | -4.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.14 | 0.38% | $55.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.43% | +0.48% |
- -5.73%
- -1.57%
- -0.90%
- +6.43%
- -5.70%
- +13.44%
- +5.70%
- +2.54%
- +0.02%
- +4.45%
- -0.11%
- +3.75%
- -6.31%
- +3.16%
- -4.26%
- +7.48%
- -1.68%
- +0.45%
- -4.00%
- +0.48%
KKR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
KKR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with KKR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $40.00
- After-tax dividend
- $26.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$20.35
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$5.65
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.03%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~1.4%
KKR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical KKR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · KKR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.26% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.19% | |
| -1.68% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.31% | |
| -6.31% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.18% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.