KLA (KLAC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.07), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, KLAC sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 17, 2026 (±4 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.07-0.09 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.07 | -0.09 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.07% | +0.40pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 70% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.96% | +1.66pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±4 days.
| Dividend | $2.30 |
| Per-event yield | 0.16% |
| Annualized yield | 0.46% |
| Previously paid | Feb 17, 2026 ($1.90) |
| Last record date | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 3, 2026 |
KLAC Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for KLA (KLAC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.90 | -1.27% | $1464.13 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.49% | +3.03% | |
| Q4 | $1.90 | 0.49% | $1134.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.50% | +0.38% | |
| Q3 | $1.90 | -0.22% | $874.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.68% | +0.74% | |
| Q2 | $1.90 | -1.32% | $791.17 | 3 | yes | yes | -6.41% | -0.03% | |
| Q1 | $1.70 | 1.02% | $754.30 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.04% | -8.15% | |
| Q4 | $1.70 | -0.04% | $614.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.82% | +5.19% | |
| Q3 | $1.45 | 2.22% | $793.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.38% | +0.77% | |
| Q2 | $1.45 | -0.97% | $714.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +7.34% | |
| Q1 | $1.45 | 0.18% | $653.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.24% | +2.51% | |
| Q4 | $1.45 | 2.37% | $528.25 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.29% | +4.52% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | -0.92% | $478.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.27% | +2.72% | |
| Q2 | $1.30 | 0.38% | $386.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.95% | +9.93% | |
| Q1 | $1.30 | -1.18% | $403.74 | 2 | yes | yes | -7.40% | -3.60% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -1.15% | $380.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.31% | -1.79% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | 0.44% | $372.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.04% | +0.10% | |
| Q2 | $1.05 | 1.50% | $315.60 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.77% | +6.63% | |
| Q1 | $1.05 | 0.37% | $389.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.51% | -7.79% | |
| Q4 | $1.05 | -0.08% | $412.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | +2.58% | |
| Q3 | $1.05 | -0.42% | $328.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.57% | -2.28% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | 0.58% | $296.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.43% | +4.81% |
- +3.03%
- +0.38%
- +0.74%
- -0.03%
- -8.15%
- +5.19%
- +0.77%
- +7.34%
- +2.51%
- +4.52%
- +2.72%
- +9.93%
- -3.60%
- -1.79%
- +0.10%
- +6.63%
- -7.79%
- +2.58%
- -2.28%
- +4.81%
KLAC Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 18 | 90% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
KLAC Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with KLAC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $460.00
- After-tax dividend
- $299.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$292.83
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$6.17
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.00%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~0.1%
KLAC Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical KLAC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · KLAC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.30% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.25% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.13% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.