Ticker League

Fair Value for Kinder Morgan (KMI)

See growth priced into Kinder Morgan (KMI): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what KMI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$15,097.83

Margin of safety
+99.79% vs current price $31.68

Method range

$11.79 $15,097.83

median $31.03

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$15,097.83
  • Exit multiple$27.06
  • Analyst target$35.00
  • Graham number$11.79

Stock price

$31.68

FCF / share (TTM)

$0.31

3Y FCF CAGR

-7.2%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$3.08

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

22.3%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -928.0% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

-7.2%

Your model implies

22.3%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)7.2%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)-7%
3Y CAGR -7%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -7% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.2%17.7%16.2%14.4%12.3%9.7%
6.2%21.3%20.1%18.7%17.2%15.4%
7.2%24.4%23.4%22.3%21.1%19.8%
8.2%27.2%26.4%25.5%24.5%23.4%
9.2%29.8%29.1%28.3%27.4%26.5%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday20.0
5Y low16.0
Median20.0
5Y high23.3
P/SToday3.6
5Y low2.0
Median2.6
5Y high4.0
EV/EBITDAToday12.5· at high
5Y low9.9
Median11.7
5Y high12.5

Net debt

$32.3B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.54

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions