LECO dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LECO sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $0.79.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.17
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.17 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.23% | +0.11pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 40% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.76% | +0.26pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$0.79
Per-event yield
0.30%
Annualized yield
1.18%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($0.79)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 15, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.79 | 0.09% | $264.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.76% | -5.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.79 | -0.46% | $244.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.62% | +4.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.79 | -0.14% | $243.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.86% | +3.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -0.74% | $234.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.96% | +1.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -0.06% | $209.27 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.87% | +5.17% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -1.47% | $190.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -15.33% | -10.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | 0.44% | $188.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.07% | -1.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -0.34% | $193.39 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.22% | -0.85% | |
| Q2 | $0.71 | 0.14% | $187.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.40% | -0.08% | |
| Q1 | $0.71 | 0.09% | $253.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.60% | -2.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.32% | $220.46 | 15 | no | yes | -5.98% | -3.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.64 | -0.22% | $180.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.48% | +0.53% | |
| Q2 | $0.64 | -0.37% | $194.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.65% | -0.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.64 | 0.43% | $166.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.70% | -7.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.64 | 0.16% | $142.66 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.48% | +8.15% | |
| Q3 | $0.56 | -1.16% | $127.90 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.79% | -0.10% | |
| Q2 | $0.56 | -0.26% | $124.98 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.82% | +0.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.56 | -0.35% | $139.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.08% | -5.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.56 | -0.12% | $140.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.91% | -0.43% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | 0.06% | $131.72 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.90% | +2.44% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 15 | 75% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with LECO's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical LECO ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.16%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+3.17%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+111.84%
Best event
+0.45%
Worst event
-3.86%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LECO (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.39% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.35% | |
| -3.86% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.37% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.30% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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