Ticker League

Fair Value for Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO)

See growth priced into Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what LECO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$497.22

Margin of safety
+49.89% vs current price $249.17

Method range

$39.28 $497.22

median $265.06

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$497.22
  • Exit multiple$226.11
  • Analyst target$304.00
  • Graham number$39.28

Stock price

$249.17

FCF / share (TTM)

$1.15

3Y FCF CAGR

17.4%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$41.73

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied FCF growth

43.2%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -497.1% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 3Y CAGR

17.4%

Your model implies

43.2%

Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.7%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr
FCF growth per year (supplemental projection)17%
3Y CAGR 17%

Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.7%39.3%38.4%37.5%36.4%35.3%
9.7%42.0%41.3%40.4%39.6%38.6%
10.7%44.7%44.0%43.2%42.4%41.6%
11.7%47.1%46.5%45.8%45.1%44.4%
12.7%49.5%48.9%48.3%47.7%47.0%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday25.5
5Y low17.8
Median22.9
5Y high29.9
P/SToday3.1· at high
5Y low2.2
Median2.6
5Y high3.1
EV/EBITDAToday17.1· at high
5Y low13.2
Median14.4
5Y high17.1

PEG

62.02

Demanding vs growth

Net debt

$983M

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.21

Vs market benchmark

Frequently asked questions