Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LECO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$492.16
Method range
$39.28 – $492.16
median $264.01
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $492.16 | +87.76% |
| Exit multiple | $226.32 | -13.66% |
| Analyst target | $301.71 | +15.10% |
| Graham number | $39.28 | -85.01% |
- Forward DCF$492.16
- Exit multiple$226.32
- Analyst target$301.71
- Graham number$39.28
Stock price
$262.13
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.15
3Y FCF CAGR
17.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$41.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
44.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -534.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
17.4%
Your model implies
44.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 40.2% | 39.3% | 38.4% | 37.4% | 36.3% |
| 9.8% | 43.0% | 42.2% | 41.4% | 40.5% | 39.6% |
| 10.8% | 45.6% | 44.9% | 44.2% | 43.4% | 42.6% |
| 11.8% | 48.1% | 47.5% | 46.8% | 46.1% | 45.4% |
| 12.8% | 50.5% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
62.08
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$985M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.25
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Lincoln Electric Holdings (LECO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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