Leggett & Platt (LEG) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 84% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.37), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LEG sits noticeably below the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 14, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 84%-11pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.37+0.16 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 84% | -11pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.37 | +0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.52% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -7.36% | -2.69pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 18 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
| Dividend | $0.05 |
| Per-event yield | 0.49% |
| Annualized yield | 1.86% |
| Previously paid | Mar 13, 2026 ($0.05) |
| Last record date | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
LEG Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Leggett & Platt (LEG). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.05 | 0.20% | $10.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.95% | -5.97% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | -0.52% | $11.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.42% | -4.83% | |
| Q3 | $0.05 | 0.73% | $9.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.47% | -4.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | -1.98% | $9.62 | 12 | no | yes | -8.11% | -3.01% | |
| Q1 | $0.05 | 0.88% | $7.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.88% | +3.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.05 | -0.35% | $11.51 | >30 | no | no | -18.33% | -15.38% | |
| Q3 | $0.05 | 1.17% | $11.94 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.59% | +10.80% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | -1.32% | $11.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.29% | +6.24% | |
| Q1 | $0.46 | -2.22% | $19.33 | 18 | no | yes | -7.86% | +0.31% | |
| Q4 | $0.46 | 0.45% | $26.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.39% | +1.08% | |
| Q3 | $0.46 | -0.72% | $26.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.30% | -3.35% | |
| Q2 | $0.46 | -1.21% | $31.48 | >30 | no | no | -8.61% | -4.32% | |
| Q1 | $0.44 | 0.83% | $31.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.21% | +0.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.44 | -1.16% | $33.74 | 14 | no | yes | -7.29% | -3.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.44 | -1.08% | $37.89 | >30 | no | no | -12.98% | -4.38% | |
| Q2 | $0.44 | -2.27% | $36.20 | 8 | no | yes | -8.31% | -3.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.42 | 0.19% | $36.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.72% | +1.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.42 | -0.83% | $40.98 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.59% | -5.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.42 | -0.75% | $47.78 | 10 | no | yes | -6.22% | -4.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.42 | -0.93% | $54.00 | >30 | no | no | -10.81% | -5.78% |
- -5.97%
- -4.83%
- -4.06%
- -3.01%
- +3.50%
- -15.38%
- +10.80%
- +6.24%
- +0.31%
- +1.08%
- -3.35%
- -4.32%
- +0.22%
- -3.68%
- -4.38%
- -3.23%
- +1.83%
- -5.30%
- -4.00%
- -5.78%
LEG Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 55% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 30+ | 4 | 20% |
LEG Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with LEG's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $10.00
- After-tax dividend
- $6.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$2.04
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$4.46
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.22%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~11.0%
LEG Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical LEG ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LEG (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -5.78% | |
| -4.00% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +1.16% | |
| -3.23% | |
| -4.38% | |
| -3.68% | |
| +1.40% | |
| -4.32% | |
| +1.75% | |
| +1.71% | |
| +0.31% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.42% | |
| -15.38% | |
| +0.63% | |
| -3.01% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.49% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.