LMT dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Lockheed Martin (LMT) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.43), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, LMT sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Sep 1, 2026, with an expected dividend of $3.45.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.43
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.43 | +0.26 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.37% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 75% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.03% | +1.00pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 8 | — |
Confirmed by company declaration.
Dividend
$3.45
Per-event yield
0.65%
Annualized yield
2.35%
Previously paid
Jun 1, 2026 ($3.45)
Last record date
Jun 1, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 26, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Lockheed Martin (LMT). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $3.45 | -1.22% | $530.45 | 8 | no | yes | -3.84% | -1.31% | |
| Q1 | $3.45 | 4.17% | $658.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.67% | +1.45% | |
| Q4 | $3.45 | -1.00% | $457.86 | 6 | no | yes | -4.50% | +2.40% | |
| Q3 | $3.30 | -0.40% | $455.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +1.04% | |
| Q2 | $3.30 | -0.85% | $482.38 | 3 | yes | yes | -8.08% | +0.36% | |
| Q1 | $3.30 | 0.56% | $450.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.42% | +7.13% | |
| Q4 | $3.30 | -0.79% | $529.41 | >30 | no | no | -7.69% | -3.04% | |
| Q3 | $3.15 | -0.14% | $568.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +1.27% | |
| Q2 | $3.15 | -0.92% | $470.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.38% | +0.06% | |
| Q1 | $3.15 | -0.73% | $432.48 | 3 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +0.15% | |
| Q4 | $3.15 | -0.45% | $445.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +1.18% | |
| Q3 | $3.00 | -0.35% | $452.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.06% | -5.82% | |
| Q2 | $3.00 | -0.75% | $447.97 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.11% | +3.75% | |
| Q1 | $3.00 | -0.51% | $479.49 | 4 | yes | yes | -1.81% | +0.45% | |
| Q4 | $3.00 | -0.85% | $484.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.32% | +0.02% | |
| Q3 | $2.80 | -0.65% | $425.11 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.18% | -0.63% | |
| Q2 | $2.80 | -1.68% | $450.56 | 6 | no | yes | -6.45% | +1.90% | |
| Q1 | $2.80 | 1.05% | $409.49 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.98% | +14.52% | |
| Q4 | $2.80 | -1.18% | $341.23 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.82% | +0.22% | |
| Q3 | $2.60 | -0.73% | $362.05 | >30 | no | no | -5.41% | -2.21% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with LMT's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical LMT ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.39%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
+7.80%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+59.77%
Best event
+2.40%
Worst event
-3.04%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · LMT (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.21% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +1.90% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -3.04% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +2.40% | |
| +0.52% | |
| -1.31% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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