Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$41.31
Method range
$10.72 – $54.88
median $45.45
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $41.31 | -1.93% |
| Exit multiple | $54.88 | +30.29% |
| Analyst target | $49.60 | +17.76% |
| Graham number | $10.72 | -74.55% |
- Forward DCF$41.31
- Exit multiple$54.88
- Analyst target$49.60
- Graham number$10.72
Stock price
$42.12
EPS (TTM)
$2.14
5Y EPS CAGR
0.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$41.31
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
0.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.1%
Your model implies
0.3%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 36.1% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -3.0% | -4.3% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -9.9% |
| 5.9% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -2.7% | -4.0% | -5.5% |
| 6.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | -0.7% | -1.8% |
| 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Lamb Weston (LW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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