Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what LW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$40.55
Method range
$10.72 – $55.14
median $45.61
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $40.55 | -15.53% |
| Exit multiple | $55.14 | +14.88% |
| Analyst target | $50.67 | +5.56% |
| Graham number | $10.72 | -77.67% |
- Forward DCF$40.55
- Exit multiple$55.14
- Analyst target$50.67
- Graham number$10.72
Stock price
$48.00
EPS (TTM)
$2.14
5Y EPS CAGR
0.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$40.55
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
2.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -18.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
0.1%
Your model implies
2.2%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 36.8% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.5% | -2.8% | -4.3% | -6.2% | -8.5% |
| 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.08B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Lamb Weston (LW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.