Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MATW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1.09
Method range
$1.09 – $29.00
median $23.21
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1.09 | -95.68% |
| Exit multiple | $29.00 | +14.39% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $23.21 | -8.45% |
- Forward DCF$1.09
- Exit multiple$29.00
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$23.21
Stock price
$25.35
EPS (TTM)
$0.31
5Y EPS CAGR
-17.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.09
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
27.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2216.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-17.9%
Your model implies
27.0%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 252% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 23.4% | 22.5% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 19.5% |
| 9.0% | 25.9% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 23.6% | 22.6% |
| 10.0% | 28.3% | 27.7% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 25.5% |
| 11.0% | 30.6% | 30.0% | 29.4% | 28.8% | 28.1% |
| 12.0% | 32.8% | 32.2% | 31.7% | 31.1% | 30.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.06
Low vs growth
Net debt
$732M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.09
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Matthews International (MATW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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