Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MCK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$20,701.40
Method range
$992.60 – $20,701.40
median $994.86
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $20,701.40 | +2,568.88% |
| Exit multiple | $992.60 | +27.97% |
| Analyst target | $994.86 | +28.26% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$20,701.40
- Exit multiple$992.60
- Analyst target$994.86
- Graham number—
Stock price
$775.66
FCF / share (TTM)
$27.11
3Y FCF CAGR
16.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2354.87
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
2.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 67.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
16.2%
Your model implies
2.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 16% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | -1.6% | -3.5% | -6.0% |
| 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -5.2% |
| 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | -0.2% |
| 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.36
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.32
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
McKesson (MCK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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