Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MCK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$19,897.84
Method range
$991.00 – $19,897.84
median $999.33
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $19,897.84 | +2,344.33% |
| Exit multiple | $991.00 | +21.74% |
| Analyst target | $999.33 | +22.76% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$19,897.84
- Exit multiple$991.00
- Analyst target$999.33
- Graham number—
Stock price
$814.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$27.11
3Y FCF CAGR
16.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2,270.35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
3.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 64.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
16.2%
Your model implies
3.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 16% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | -1.0% | -3.0% | -5.5% |
| 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | -1.8% | -4.0% |
| 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.36
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.64B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.32
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
McKesson (MCK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.27% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.40% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.