Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MCO is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$237.03
Method range
$37.74 – $560.04
median $390.89
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $237.03 | -47.48% |
| Exit multiple | $560.04 | +24.08% |
| Analyst target | $544.75 | +20.69% |
| Graham number | $37.74 | -91.64% |
- Forward DCF$237.03
- Exit multiple$560.04
- Analyst target$544.75
- Graham number$37.74
Stock price
$451.35
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.77
3Y FCF CAGR
9.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$92.03
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
32.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -390.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.6%
Your model implies
32.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 10% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.2% | 28.6% | 27.9% | 27.1% | 26.3% | 25.4% |
| 10.2% | 31.0% | 30.4% | 29.7% | 29.0% | 28.2% |
| 11.2% | 33.3% | 32.7% | 32.1% | 31.5% | 30.8% |
| 12.2% | 35.5% | 35.0% | 34.4% | 33.8% | 33.2% |
| 13.2% | 37.6% | 37.1% | 36.6% | 36.1% | 35.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
3.23
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$5.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.34
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Moody's (MCO) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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