MercadoLibre (MELI) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +6.6% | -18.2% | -1.6% | +3.7% | -5.4% | -6.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | +13.0% | +10.4% | -8.1% | +19.5% | +10.0% | +2.0% | -9.2% | +4.2% | -5.5% | -0.4% | -11.0% | -2.8% |
| 2024 | +8.9% | -6.8% | -5.2% | -3.5% | +18.3% | -4.8% | +1.6% | +23.5% | -0.5% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -14.3% |
| 2023 | +39.6% | +3.2% | +8.0% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -4.4% | +4.5% | +10.8% | -7.6% | -2.1% | +30.6% | -3.0% |
| 2022 | -16.0% | -0.5% | +5.6% | -18.1% | -19.3% | -19.0% | +27.8% | +5.1% | -3.2% | +8.9% | +3.3% | -9.1% |
| 2021 | +6.2% | -7.9% | -10.1% | +6.7% | -13.5% | +14.7% | +0.7% | +19.0% | -10.1% | -11.8% | -19.8% | +13.5% |
| 2020 | +15.9% | -7.1% | -20.7% | +19.4% | +46.0% | +15.7% | +14.1% | +3.9% | -7.4% | +12.2% | +27.9% | +7.8% |
| 2019 | +24.3% | +26.0% | +10.7% | -4.6% | +17.8% | +7.2% | +1.6% | -4.3% | -7.3% | -5.4% | +11.3% | -1.5% |
| 2018 | +23.0% | +0.2% | -8.1% | -4.7% | -14.4% | +2.8% | +14.7% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -4.7% | +8.5% | -16.8% |
| 2017 | +18.7% | +13.7% | +0.4% | +8.2% | +20.2% | -8.8% | +15.0% | -10.4% | +0.2% | -7.2% | +14.5% | +14.4% |
| 2016 | -14.1% | +3.6% | +16.0% | +6.0% | +9.3% | +3.2% | +8.8% | +12.4% | +7.6% | -9.2% | -6.1% | -1.0% |
| 2015 | -2.9% | +5.7% | -6.4% | +16.2% | +2.0% | -2.3% | -7.8% | -15.8% | -17.2% | +8.0% | +25.3% | -7.1% |
| 2014 | -10.5% | +8.0% | -8.5% | -1.9% | -8.8% | +12.4% | -3.0% | +24.3% | -5.3% | +25.3% | +3.5% | -9.3% |
| 2013 | +12.5% | -3.2% | +13.0% | +4.2% | +13.9% | -5.9% | +9.0% | +1.1% | +13.8% | -0.2% | -17.8% | -2.5% |
| 2012 | +9.9% | +11.3% | +0.6% | -1.1% | -27.4% | +8.1% | -11.9% | +19.1% | +3.9% | +1.7% | -14.3% | +9.3% |
| 2011 | +1.7% | -3.0% | +24.2% | +12.0% | -3.6% | -9.9% | +0.1% | -15.2% | -20.1% | +21.3% | +34.5% | -9.2% |
| 2010 | -26.7% | +8.2% | +17.2% | +4.6% | +2.9% | +1.3% | +15.1% | +9.0% | +9.5% | -8.4% | -3.8% | +4.7% |
| 2009 | -18.3% | +24.6% | +11.0% | +47.4% | -20.8% | +24.2% | +7.2% | +9.2% | +22.2% | -6.9% | +37.9% | +5.1% |
| 2008 | -49.9% | -2.4% | +10.0% | +27.2% | -7.2% | -26.5% | +3.9% | -13.9% | -34.1% | -32.8% | -9.9% | +33.2% |
| 2007 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +29.0% | +23.2% | -5.1% | +74.2% |
| Avg | +2.2% | +3.5% | +2.5% | +7.3% | +0.9% | +0.6% | +5.1% | +4.6% | -1.7% | +0.6% | +5.6% | +4.5% |
| Median | +6.6% | +3.2% | +0.6% | +4.6% | -3.0% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +4.6% | -3.2% | -0.7% | +3.3% | -1.5% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +10.4% | -2.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -2.3% | +5.1% | +12.5% | -5.4% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -3.2% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 21.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.11 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.50 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.51 | 0.36 | -0.12 | 0.04 | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| Win Rate (%) | 63% | 58% | 58% | 63% | 47% | 56% | 78% | 67% | 37% | 37% | 53% | 42% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲12▼7 | ▲11▼8 | ▲11▼8 | ▲12▼7 | ▲9▼10 | ▲10▼8 | ▲14▼4 | ▲12▼6 | ▲7▼12 | ▲7▼12 | ▲10▼9 | ▲8▼11 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲5▼3 | ▲6▼3 | ▲6▼3 | ▲4▼3 | ▲3▼3 | ▲4▼3 | ▲9▼2 | ▲6▼3 | ▲2▼8 | ▲2▼4 | ▲4▼2 | ▲4▼4 |
| Best | +39.6%in January 2023 | +26.0%in February 2019 | +24.2%in March 2011 | +47.4%in April 2009 | +46.0%in May 2020 | +24.2%in June 2009 | +27.8%in July 2022 | +24.3%in August 2014 | +29.0%in September 2007 | +25.3%in October 2014 | +37.9%in November 2009 | +74.2%in December 2007 |
| Worst | -49.9%in January 2008 | -18.2%in February 2026 | -20.7%in March 2020 | -18.1%in April 2022 | -27.4%in May 2012 | -26.5%in June 2008 | -11.9%in July 2012 | -15.8%in August 2015 | -34.1%in September 2008 | -32.8%in October 2008 | -19.8%in November 2021 | -16.8%in December 2018 |
−49.9%+74.2%
2026
Jan+6.6%
Feb-18.2%
Mar-1.6%
Apr+3.7%
May-5.4%
Jun-6.3%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan+13.0%
Feb+10.4%
Mar-8.1%
Apr+19.5%
May+10.0%
Jun+2.0%
Jul-9.2%
Aug+4.2%
Sep-5.5%
Oct-0.4%
Nov-11.0%
Dec-2.8%
2024
Jan+8.9%
Feb-6.8%
Mar-5.2%
Apr-3.5%
May+18.3%
Jun-4.8%
Jul+1.6%
Aug+23.5%
Sep-0.5%
Oct-0.7%
Nov-2.6%
Dec-14.3%
2023
Jan+39.6%
Feb+3.2%
Mar+8.0%
Apr-3.1%
May-3.0%
Jun-4.4%
Jul+4.5%
Aug+10.8%
Sep-7.6%
Oct-2.1%
Nov+30.6%
Dec-3.0%
2022
Jan-16.0%
Feb-0.5%
Mar+5.6%
Apr-18.1%
May-19.3%
Jun-19.0%
Jul+27.8%
Aug+5.1%
Sep-3.2%
Oct+8.9%
Nov+3.3%
Dec-9.1%
2021
Jan+6.2%
Feb-7.9%
Mar-10.1%
Apr+6.7%
May-13.5%
Jun+14.7%
Jul+0.7%
Aug+19.0%
Sep-10.1%
Oct-11.8%
Nov-19.8%
Dec+13.5%
2020
Jan+15.9%
Feb-7.1%
Mar-20.7%
Apr+19.4%
May+46.0%
Jun+15.7%
Jul+14.1%
Aug+3.9%
Sep-7.4%
Oct+12.2%
Nov+27.9%
Dec+7.8%
2019
Jan+24.3%
Feb+26.0%
Mar+10.7%
Apr-4.6%
May+17.8%
Jun+7.2%
Jul+1.6%
Aug-4.3%
Sep-7.3%
Oct-5.4%
Nov+11.3%
Dec-1.5%
2018
Jan+23.0%
Feb+0.2%
Mar-8.1%
Apr-4.7%
May-14.4%
Jun+2.8%
Jul+14.7%
Aug-0.1%
Sep-0.6%
Oct-4.7%
Nov+8.5%
Dec-16.8%
2017
Jan+18.7%
Feb+13.7%
Mar+0.4%
Apr+8.2%
May+20.2%
Jun-8.8%
Jul+15.0%
Aug-10.4%
Sep+0.2%
Oct-7.2%
Nov+14.5%
Dec+14.4%
2016
Jan-14.1%
Feb+3.6%
Mar+16.0%
Apr+6.0%
May+9.3%
Jun+3.2%
Jul+8.8%
Aug+12.4%
Sep+7.6%
Oct-9.2%
Nov-6.1%
Dec-1.0%
2015
Jan-2.9%
Feb+5.7%
Mar-6.4%
Apr+16.2%
May+2.0%
Jun-2.3%
Jul-7.8%
Aug-15.8%
Sep-17.2%
Oct+8.0%
Nov+25.3%
Dec-7.1%
2014
Jan-10.5%
Feb+8.0%
Mar-8.5%
Apr-1.9%
May-8.8%
Jun+12.4%
Jul-3.0%
Aug+24.3%
Sep-5.3%
Oct+25.3%
Nov+3.5%
Dec-9.3%
2013
Jan+12.5%
Feb-3.2%
Mar+13.0%
Apr+4.2%
May+13.9%
Jun-5.9%
Jul+9.0%
Aug+1.1%
Sep+13.8%
Oct-0.2%
Nov-17.8%
Dec-2.5%
2012
Jan+9.9%
Feb+11.3%
Mar+0.6%
Apr-1.1%
May-27.4%
Jun+8.1%
Jul-11.9%
Aug+19.1%
Sep+3.9%
Oct+1.7%
Nov-14.3%
Dec+9.3%
2011
Jan+1.7%
Feb-3.0%
Mar+24.2%
Apr+12.0%
May-3.6%
Jun-9.9%
Jul+0.1%
Aug-15.2%
Sep-20.1%
Oct+21.3%
Nov+34.5%
Dec-9.2%
2010
Jan-26.7%
Feb+8.2%
Mar+17.2%
Apr+4.6%
May+2.9%
Jun+1.3%
Jul+15.1%
Aug+9.0%
Sep+9.5%
Oct-8.4%
Nov-3.8%
Dec+4.7%
2009
Jan-18.3%
Feb+24.6%
Mar+11.0%
Apr+47.4%
May-20.8%
Jun+24.2%
Jul+7.2%
Aug+9.2%
Sep+22.2%
Oct-6.9%
Nov+37.9%
Dec+5.1%
2008
Jan-49.9%
Feb-2.4%
Mar+10.0%
Apr+27.2%
May-7.2%
Jun-26.5%
Jul+3.9%
Aug-13.9%
Sep-34.1%
Oct-32.8%
Nov-9.9%
Dec+33.2%
2007
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May—
Jun—
Jul—
Aug—
Sep+29.0%
Oct+23.2%
Nov-5.1%
Dec+74.2%
Avg
Jan+2.2%
Feb+3.5%
Mar+2.5%
Apr+7.3%
May+0.9%
Jun+0.6%
Jul+5.1%
Aug+4.6%
Sep-1.7%
Oct+0.6%
Nov+5.6%
Dec+4.5%
Median
Jan+6.6%
Feb+3.2%
Mar+0.6%
Apr+4.6%
May-3.0%
Jun+1.6%
Jul+4.2%
Aug+4.6%
Sep-3.2%
Oct-0.7%
Nov+3.3%
Dec-1.5%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+10.4%
Feb-2.4%
Mar-0.3%
Apr-0.3%
May+0.1%
Jun-2.3%
Jul+5.1%
Aug+12.5%
Sep-5.4%
Oct-1.2%
Nov+0.1%
Dec-3.2%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan21.0%
Feb11.0%
Mar11.6%
Apr14.4%
May17.8%
Jun12.5%
Jul10.0%
Aug12.8%
Sep14.6%
Oct13.8%
Nov18.3%
Dec20.6%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.11
Feb0.32
Mar0.22
Apr0.50
May0.05
Jun0.04
Jul0.51
Aug0.36
Sep-0.12
Oct0.04
Nov0.31
Dec0.22
Win Rate (%)
Jan63%
Feb58%
Mar58%
Apr63%
May47%
Jun56%
Jul78%
Aug67%
Sep37%
Oct37%
Nov53%
Dec42%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲12▼7
Feb▲11▼8
Mar▲11▼8
Apr▲12▼7
May▲9▼10
Jun▲10▼8
Jul▲14▼4
Aug▲12▼6
Sep▲7▼12
Oct▲7▼12
Nov▲10▼9
Dec▲8▼11
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲5▼3
Feb▲6▼3
Mar▲6▼3
Apr▲4▼3
May▲3▼3
Jun▲4▼3
Jul▲9▼2
Aug▲6▼3
Sep▲2▼8
Oct▲2▼4
Nov▲4▼2
Dec▲4▼4
Best
Jan+39.6%2023
Feb+26.0%2019
Mar+24.2%2011
Apr+47.4%2009
May+46.0%2020
Jun+24.2%2009
Jul+27.8%2022
Aug+24.3%2014
Sep+29.0%2007
Oct+25.3%2014
Nov+37.9%2009
Dec+74.2%2007
Worst
Jan-49.9%2008
Feb-18.2%2026
Mar-20.7%2020
Apr-18.1%2022
May-27.4%2012
Jun-26.5%2008
Jul-11.9%2012
Aug-15.8%2015
Sep-34.1%2008
Oct-32.8%2008
Nov-19.8%2021
Dec-16.8%2018
−49.9%+74.2%
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