Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what META is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,047.71
Method range
$151.20 – $1,047.71
median $763.20
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,047.71 | +67.05% |
| Exit multiple | $706.39 | +12.63% |
| Analyst target | $820.00 | +30.75% |
| Graham number | $151.20 | -75.89% |
- Forward DCF$1,047.71
- Exit multiple$706.39
- Analyst target$820.00
- Graham number$151.20
Stock price
$627.17
FCF / share (TTM)
$5.22
3Y FCF CAGR
7.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$87.44
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
34.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -617.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
7.0%
Your model implies
34.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 7% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 31.2% | 30.4% | 29.5% | 28.6% | 27.6% |
| 9.9% | 33.7% | 33.0% | 32.3% | 31.5% | 30.6% |
| 10.9% | 36.1% | 35.5% | 34.8% | 34.1% | 33.4% |
| 11.9% | 38.4% | 37.8% | 37.2% | 36.6% | 35.9% |
| 12.9% | 40.6% | 40.1% | 39.5% | 38.9% | 38.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.79
Low vs growth
Net debt
$48B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.25
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Meta (META) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.