Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MGEE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$102.49
Method range
$33.16 – $102.49
median $79.64
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $102.49 | +23.50% |
| Exit multiple | $83.28 | +0.35% |
| Analyst target | $76.00 | -8.42% |
| Graham number | $33.16 | -60.05% |
- Forward DCF$102.49
- Exit multiple$83.28
- Analyst target$76.00
- Graham number$33.16
Stock price
$82.99
EPS (TTM)
$3.90
5Y EPS CAGR
7.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$102.49
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
4.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 19.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
7.4%
Your model implies
4.7%
Next-year analyst consensus
0.8%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -3.2% |
| 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.13
Low vs growth
Net debt
$929M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.71
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
MGE Energy (MGEE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile2.29% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.