Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MGEE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$103.27
Method range
$33.16 – $103.27
median $76.20
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $103.27 | +36.49% |
| Exit multiple | $82.41 | +8.92% |
| Analyst target | $70.00 | -7.48% |
| Graham number | $33.16 | -56.18% |
- Forward DCF$103.27
- Exit multiple$82.41
- Analyst target$70.00
- Graham number$33.16
Stock price
$75.66
EPS (TTM)
$3.90
5Y EPS CAGR
7.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$103.27
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
3.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 26.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
7.4%
Your model implies
3.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
-0.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 0.1% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -3.0% | -4.4% |
| 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | -1.0% |
| 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.13
Low vs growth
Net debt
$929M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.72
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
MGE Energy (MGEE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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