Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MKL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$14,565.43
Method range
$997.98 – $14,565.43
median $1,634.20
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $14,565.43 | +649.02% |
| Exit multiple | $997.98 | -48.68% |
| Analyst target | $1,950.00 | +0.28% |
| Graham number | $1,318.40 | -32.20% |
- Forward DCF$14,565.43
- Exit multiple$997.98
- Analyst target$1,950.00
- Graham number$1,318.40
Stock price
$1,944.60
EPS (TTM)
$138.77
5Y EPS CAGR
24.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$14,565.43
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-1.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 86.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
24.9%
Your model implies
-1.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
-19.4%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | -4.4% | -5.3% | -6.3% | -7.5% | -8.9% |
| 7.0% | -2.1% | -2.8% | -3.6% | -4.5% | -5.5% |
| 8.0% | -0.0% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -2.0% | -2.8% |
| 9.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | -0.4% |
| 10.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.18
Low vs growth
Net debt
$339M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.66
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Markel (MKL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.