Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MKL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$14,731.64
Method range
$977.49 – $14,731.64
median $1,634.20
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $14,731.64 | +710.02% |
| Exit multiple | $977.49 | -46.25% |
| Analyst target | $1,950.00 | +7.22% |
| Graham number | $1,318.40 | -27.51% |
- Forward DCF$14,731.64
- Exit multiple$977.49
- Analyst target$1,950.00
- Graham number$1,318.40
Stock price
$1818.67
EPS (TTM)
$138.77
5Y EPS CAGR
24.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$14731.64
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-2.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 87.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
24.9%
Your model implies
-2.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
-19.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | -5.4% | -6.3% | -7.3% | -8.5% | -9.9% |
| 6.9% | -3.1% | -3.8% | -4.6% | -5.5% | -6.5% |
| 7.9% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -3.7% |
| 8.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 9.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.18
Low vs growth
Net debt
$339M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.67
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Markel (MKL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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