Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MKSI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$23.13
Method range
$23.13 – $306.75
median $138.17
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $23.13 | -92.33% |
| Exit multiple | $242.14 | -19.73% |
| Analyst target | $306.75 | +1.69% |
| Graham number | $34.20 | -88.66% |
- Forward DCF$23.13
- Exit multiple$242.14
- Analyst target$306.75
- Graham number$34.20
Stock price
$301.65
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.42
3Y FCF CAGR
-7.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.00
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
73.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -15007.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-7.3%
Your model implies
73.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -7% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 69.1% | 68.4% | 67.7% | 66.9% | 66.1% |
| 13.4% | 71.8% | 71.2% | 70.5% | 69.8% | 69.1% |
| 14.4% | 74.4% | 73.8% | 73.2% | 72.5% | 71.9% |
| 15.0% | 75.9% | 75.3% | 74.7% | 74.1% | 73.4% |
| 15.0% | 75.9% | 75.3% | 74.7% | 74.1% | 73.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.97
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MKS (MKSI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation