Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MKSI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$23.26
Method range
$23.26 – $407.75
median $138.77
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $23.26 | -93.25% |
| Exit multiple | $243.34 | -29.43% |
| Analyst target | $407.75 | +18.24% |
| Graham number | $34.20 | -90.08% |
- Forward DCF$23.26
- Exit multiple$243.34
- Analyst target$407.75
- Graham number$34.20
Stock price
$344.84
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.42
3Y FCF CAGR
-7.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.01
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
75.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -17,071.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-7.3%
Your model implies
75.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -7% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 71.3% | 70.5% | 69.8% | 69.0% | 68.2% |
| 13.3% | 74.0% | 73.3% | 72.6% | 71.9% | 71.2% |
| 14.3% | 76.6% | 76.0% | 75.4% | 74.7% | 74.0% |
| 15.0% | 78.4% | 77.8% | 77.2% | 76.6% | 75.9% |
| 15.0% | 78.4% | 77.8% | 77.2% | 76.6% | 75.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.02B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.93
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MKS (MKSI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.