Marvell Technology (MRVL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.02), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MRVL sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 10, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.02-0.14 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.02 | -0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.17% | +0.16pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.26% | -1.64pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $0.06 |
| Per-event yield | 0.05% |
| Annualized yield | 0.19% |
| Previously paid | Apr 10, 2026 ($0.06) |
| Last record date | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 30, 2026 |
MRVL Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Marvell Technology (MRVL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.06 | 3.11% | $119.93 | 1 | yes | yes | 3.06% | +16.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | 0.69% | $83.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.31% | -3.51% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 2.53% | $90.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.81% | -2.94% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -1.08% | $73.36 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.31% | +1.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.53% | $52.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.04% | -6.49% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | -1.75% | $118.23 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.65% | +5.57% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | -0.81% | $72.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.06% | +10.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | 1.01% | $72.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.94% | -7.77% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | 1.12% | $71.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.59% | -8.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | -1.29% | $56.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.99% | +16.16% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | -0.53% | $53.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.96% | +2.57% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -2.01% | $59.81 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.98% | +9.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -0.99% | $40.48 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.06% | -0.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | -2.38% | $36.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -7.81% | +7.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | -0.10% | $48.36 | 1 | yes | yes | -27.01% | -18.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | 2.88% | $43.82 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.75% | +7.64% | |
| Q2 | $0.06 | -1.05% | $66.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.53% | -8.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.06 | -1.68% | $84.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.35% | -6.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.06 | 1.96% | $63.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.96% | +2.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.06 | -2.52% | $56.68 | 2 | yes | yes | -6.86% | -1.62% |
- +16.53%
- -3.51%
- -2.94%
- +1.84%
- -6.49%
- +5.57%
- +10.16%
- -7.77%
- -8.58%
- +16.16%
- +2.57%
- +9.40%
- -0.07%
- +7.54%
- -18.96%
- +7.64%
- -8.23%
- -6.43%
- +2.51%
- -1.62%
MRVL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
MRVL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with MRVL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $12.00
- After-tax dividend
- $7.80
- Slippage round-trip
- -$23.99
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-16.19
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.07%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.07%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-3.4%
MRVL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical MRVL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MRVL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.11% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.08% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.07% | |
| +0.05% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.