Micron Technology (MU) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.03), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MU sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jun 29, 2026 (±5 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.03-0.13 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.03 | -0.13 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.58% | -0.25pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.08% | +0.54pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±5 days.
| Dividend | $0.15 |
| Per-event yield | 0.04% |
| Annualized yield | 0.15% |
| Previously paid | Mar 30, 2026 ($0.15) |
| Last record date | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
MU Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Micron Technology (MU). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.15 | 1.52% | $357.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -12.80% | +5.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -1.57% | $284.79 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +20.63% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | 0.79% | $183.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.25% | -1.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.91% | $122.29 | 2 | yes | yes | -9.27% | -2.92% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | -2.76% | $88.44 | 2 | yes | yes | -30.42% | -22.56% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -1.85% | $88.63 | 4 | yes | yes | -5.12% | +15.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.09% | $102.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.89% | +6.07% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -0.24% | $131.60 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.49% | -0.47% | |
| Q1 | $0.12 | 0.16% | $119.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.59% | +3.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.19% | $86.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.30% | -1.09% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -0.49% | $69.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.71% | +0.40% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | 0.33% | $61.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.06% | +4.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.12 | -0.12% | $57.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.39% | +10.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -2.37% | $50.65 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.00% | +11.50% | |
| Q4 | $0.12 | -1.94% | $54.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.85% | -3.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.12 | -1.07% | $58.85 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.60% | +4.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.10 | -1.06% | $73.28 | 3 | yes | yes | -5.42% | -2.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.10 | 0.12% | $93.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.04% | +0.70% | |
| Q3 | $0.10 | 0.78% | $71.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.33% | -1.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.05 | -0.72% | $18.13 | >30 | no | no | -10.04% | -7.00% |
- +5.74%
- +20.63%
- -1.11%
- -2.92%
- -22.56%
- +15.11%
- +6.07%
- -0.47%
- +3.73%
- -1.09%
- +0.40%
- +4.84%
- +10.04%
- +11.50%
- -3.27%
- +4.75%
- -2.77%
- +0.70%
- -1.40%
- -7.00%
MU Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 4 | 20% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
MU Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with MU's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $30.00
- After-tax dividend
- $19.50
- Slippage round-trip
- -$71.44
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- $-51.94
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.07%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- -0.07%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~-3.7%
MU Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical MU ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MU (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -7.00% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.10% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.11% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.06% | |
| +0.04% | |
| +0.04% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.