Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$67.96
Method range
$17.89 – $67.96
median $39.40
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $67.96 | +27.71% |
| Exit multiple | $17.89 | -66.37% |
| Analyst target | — | — |
| Graham number | $39.40 | -25.95% |
- Forward DCF$67.96
- Exit multiple$17.89
- Analyst target—
- Graham number$39.40
Stock price
$53.21
EPS (TTM)
$2.87
5Y EPS CAGR
2.3%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$67.96
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-0.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 21.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
2.3%
Your model implies
-0.7%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -3.7% | -5.0% | -6.4% | -8.2% | -10.5% |
| 5.8% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -5.1% | -6.7% |
| 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -2.9% |
| 7.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$62M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.44
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
NACCO Industries (NC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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