Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NCLH is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$2.63
Method range
$2.63 – $21.33
median $12.47
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $2.63 | -86.39% |
| Exit multiple | $19.70 | +1.89% |
| Analyst target | $21.33 | +10.35% |
| Graham number | $5.24 | -72.89% |
- Forward DCF$2.63
- Exit multiple$19.70
- Analyst target$21.33
- Graham number$5.24
Stock price
$19.33
EPS (TTM)
$1.19
5Y EPS CAGR
-22.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.63
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
11.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -634.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-22.9%
Your model implies
11.8%
Next-year analyst consensus
40.3%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% |
| 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% |
| 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% |
| 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.03
Low vs growth
Net debt
$14.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.88
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.