NWN dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Northwest Natural Holding (NWN) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.55), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NWN sits roughly in line with the Utilities sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 31, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.55
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | +1.0d vs sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.55 | +0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -1.01% | -0.32pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 63% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.91% | -0.16pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 19 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
Dividend
$0.49
Per-event yield
0.98%
Annualized yield
4.03%
Previously paid
Jul 31, 2026 ($0.49)
Last record date
Jul 31, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 14, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Northwest Natural Holding (NWN). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.49 | -2.20% | $50.03 | >30 | no | no | -2.76% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -1.19% | $53.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.81% | -4.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.13% | $47.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +3.21% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -1.84% | $46.23 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.85% | +2.30% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -1.85% | $40.60 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.23% | -0.15% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.91% | $43.78 | 5 | yes | yes | -7.74% | +1.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.21% | $40.49 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.19% | -0.02% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.88% | $40.00 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.92% | +2.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -1.08% | $40.74 | 19 | no | yes | -8.17% | -5.75% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.34% | $38.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.97% | +0.07% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.72% | $38.98 | 15 | no | yes | -10.34% | -7.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.78% | $37.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.59% | +3.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.49 | -0.41% | $43.68 | >30 | no | no | -7.03% | -4.27% | |
| Q2 | $0.49 | -0.96% | $46.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.58% | +4.08% | |
| Q1 | $0.49 | -1.58% | $50.04 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.72% | +4.11% | |
| Q4 | $0.49 | -0.57% | $47.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.89% | -0.68% | |
| Q3 | $0.48 | 0.23% | $53.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.88% | +1.40% | |
| Q2 | $0.48 | -0.02% | $49.17 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.60% | +0.68% | |
| Q1 | $0.48 | -1.01% | $47.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.92% | +0.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.48 | -0.67% | $46.23 | 4 | yes | yes | -3.24% | +0.96% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 7 | 35% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with NWN's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical NWN ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (19 events)
+0.02%
Win rate (19 trades)
84%
Cumulative P&L
+0.31%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+26.91%
Best event
+1.32%
Worst event
-7.04%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
19 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NWN (19)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.04% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.91% | |
| +1.02% | |
| +0.97% | |
| +1.03% | |
| -4.27% | |
| +1.32% | |
| -7.04% | |
| +1.27% | |
| -5.75% | |
| +1.23% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.21% | |
| +1.07% | |
| +1.05% | |
| +0.93% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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