Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NWN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$79.98
Method range
$45.51 – $79.98
median $54.42
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $79.98 | +60.68% |
| Exit multiple | $53.59 | +7.65% |
| Analyst target | $55.25 | +10.99% |
| Graham number | $45.51 | -8.57% |
- Forward DCF$79.98
- Exit multiple$53.59
- Analyst target$55.25
- Graham number$45.51
Stock price
$49.78
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.06
3Y FCF CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$2.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
49.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2041.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 45.1% | 43.0% | 40.5% | 37.5% | 33.7% |
| 5.7% | 48.4% | 46.6% | 44.6% | 42.3% | 39.5% |
| 6.7% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 49.7% | 47.9% | 45.8% |
| 7.7% | 56.5% | 55.3% | 54.0% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| 8.7% | 60.0% | 59.0% | 57.8% | 56.6% | 55.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.08
Low vs growth
Net debt
$2.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.43
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Northwest Natural Holding (NWN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation