Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what OKTA is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$417,568.63
Method range
$19.24 – $417,568.63
median $621.74
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $417,568.63 | +351,625.60% |
| Exit multiple | $1,133.68 | +854.92% |
| Analyst target | $109.79 | -7.52% |
| Graham number | $19.24 | -83.79% |
- Forward DCF$417,568.63
- Exit multiple$1,133.68
- Analyst target$109.79
- Graham number$19.24
Stock price
$118.72
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.57
3Y FCF CAGR
71.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3797.17
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
19.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 96.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
71.2%
Your model implies
19.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 71% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| 6.5% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| 7.5% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| 8.5% | 23.7% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 20.2% |
| 9.5% | 26.2% | 25.5% | 24.8% | 24.0% | 23.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.63
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$436M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.59
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Okta (OKTA) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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