Ticker League

Fair Value for Oracle (ORCL)

See growth priced into Oracle (ORCL): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what ORCL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$65.95

Above fair value
-90.80% vs current price $125.84

Method range

$22.29 $249.18

median $152.52

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$65.95
  • Exit multiple$239.10
  • Analyst target$249.18
  • Graham number$22.29

Stock price

$125.84

EPS (TTM)

$5.83

5Y EPS CAGR

5.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$65.95

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

14.7%

per year over your projection horizon

Premium vs DCF

Margin of safety -90.8% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

5.1%

Your model implies

14.7%

Next-year analyst consensus

38.1%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)13.2%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
11.2%12.0%11.6%11.1%10.6%10.1%
12.2%13.7%13.4%12.9%12.5%12.1%
13.2%15.4%15.1%14.7%14.3%13.9%
14.2%17.0%16.7%16.4%16.0%15.6%
15.0%18.2%17.9%17.6%17.3%16.9%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday41.8· at high
5Y low28.9
Median33.6
5Y high41.8
P/SToday10.6· at high
5Y low4.6
Median6.1
5Y high10.6
EV/EBITDAToday26.1· at high
5Y low18.4
Median19.5
5Y high26.1

PEG

2.84

Demanding vs growth

Net debt

$125B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.71

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 0.85 to 5.83 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions