Paycom Software (PAYC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 92% of the last 13 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.06), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, PAYC sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 24, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 92%-3pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.06-0.10 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 13 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 92% | -3pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.06 | -0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.12% | +0.45pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 46% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -6.22% | -1.60pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 2 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.38 |
| Per-event yield | 0.27% |
| Annualized yield | 1.13% |
| Previously paid | Mar 9, 2026 ($0.38) |
| Last record date | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 23, 2026 |
PAYC Dividend Capture History — Last 13 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Paycom Software (PAYC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.38 | -1.11% | $138.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.90% | -10.26% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.18% | $162.14 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.55% | +0.11% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | -0.39% | $233.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.55% | -5.78% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | 0.40% | $257.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.92% | +2.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | 1.11% | $213.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.52% | +1.58% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | 0.91% | $230.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | -0.03% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | 0.44% | $163.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.22% | -0.96% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | 0.19% | $170.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -16.56% | -13.87% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | -0.32% | $174.44 | >30 | no | no | -18.18% | -16.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.38 | -0.24% | $182.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.31% | -0.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.38 | -0.20% | $177.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +4.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.38 | 0.34% | $284.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.38% | +4.07% | |
| Q2 | $0.38 | 0.57% | $279.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.14% | +9.78% |
- -10.26%
- +0.11%
- -5.78%
- +2.43%
- +1.58%
- -0.03%
- -0.96%
- -13.87%
- -16.58%
- -0.44%
- +4.86%
- +4.07%
- +9.78%
PAYC Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 11 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 8% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 8% |
PAYC Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with PAYC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $76.00
- After-tax dividend
- $49.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$27.60
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$21.80
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.08%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~4.0%
PAYC Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical PAYC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
13 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · PAYC (13)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.13% | |
| +0.13% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.21% | |
| -16.58% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.27% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.